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Crown Green Handicap

Tony McColgan

Team: Upton Victory Hall BDivision: League 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

886

Current Handicap

8
Honours
Season:

48

Matches Played

24

Wins

24

Losses

50%

Win Rate

7.6

Avg Win Margin

7.3

Avg Loss Margin

17-11

Home Record

7-13

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
48 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/16/2021

A large recent sample: 48 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 39-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins24/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 48 matches

+8 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

1 Jun6 Jul24 May1 Jul26 Jul2 Sept21 Jun16 Aug-12510

Gives 8 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current8
Win Percentage(40%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.6
score-0.06→contribution-0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.3
score+0.11→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
45%
score-0.10→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
833
score-0.19→contribution-0.02
Weighted Score-0.028
Sample Size Confidence
100%(48/39 matches)
Rating986 → shrunk 986→ adjusted 886
Handicap
8

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

24W24L48 matches·50% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Upton Victory Hall B2018–2021League 232181456.3%
Upton Victory Hall2018–2019League 11661037.5%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/16/2021Arthur HallH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 2
8/6/2021Ian SharpA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
8/2/2021vs KendalA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 2
7/19/2021Anthony WoodH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
7/9/2021John CrightonH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 2
6/28/2021Phil CritchleyA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 2
6/25/2021Don FavagerH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
6/21/2021vs Naval ClubH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 2
6/14/2021Alan LewisA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
6/4/2021Joe BrettA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 2
5/28/2021Andy PorterH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 2
5/24/2021Bill AtkinsonH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 2
5/21/2021Bill AtkinsonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 2
9/2/2019Jimmy KearneyA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 1
8/12/2019Peter BirchH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 1
8/9/2019Zoe StrattonA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 1
8/5/2019Mike WalshA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
8/2/2019Mick RamsayH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
7/29/2019Derek MacdonaldA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 2
7/26/2019Tony SullivanA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 1
7/22/2019John Gomersall JnrH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 1
7/15/2019Howard FernA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 2
7/12/2019Kevin PulhamH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 2
7/8/2019Lee NaylorH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 2
7/5/2019Kevin OwensA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 2
7/1/2019Eddie ThomasH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
6/28/2019Martin ConwayA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
6/21/2019Dave EastH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 2
6/17/2019Ronnie AbbottH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 2
6/14/2019Lee AbbottA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
5/31/2019Carol WyburnH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
5/24/2019Roger HamerA21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 2
5/10/2019Jim CourtneyH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 1
8/17/2018Sue MargerisonA21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 2
8/10/2018Dave EdwardsH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 2
8/3/2018Ann WilsonH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 2
7/13/2018Darren HankinH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 1
7/6/2018Mo SavilleH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 1
7/2/2018Brian LongerA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 1
6/29/2018Malcolm GilfoyleH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 1
6/15/2018John GladwinH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 2
6/8/2018Stephen PrestonH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 2
6/1/2018Robbie FranklinH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 1
5/21/2018Mark MylesA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 1
5/18/2018Kyle GordonH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 1
5/4/2018Mike HalseyH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 1
4/30/2018# Ged RichardsonH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 1
4/27/2018Mike NelsonA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 1
Doctor Dawson Victory Cup5 games · 1W
20192 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundMatty GilmoreManor Road7-21LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundGerry RileyWest Kirby Victoria10-21LOSSLOST
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundBill AstlesManor Road6-21LOSSLOST
20162 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundJohn SherlockUpton Victory Hall17-21LOSSWON
Round of 32 RoundGerry RileyHeswall Rbl21-15WINLOST
Frank Hurst Trophy2 games · 2W
20192 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundGraham HamblettNaval Club21-11WINWON
Quarters RoundTony RatcliffeUpton Victory Hall21-8WINLOST
Sansom Cup1 games · 0W
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundDarren HankinGladstone10-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

4losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLLW
Last 1040% win rate↓ declining
LLLLWWLWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Bill Atkinson11250%5/24/2021
Arthur Hall0110%8/16/2021
Ian Sharp0110%8/6/2021
Kendal0110%8/2/2021
Anthony Wood0110%7/19/2021
John Crighton101100%7/9/2021
Phil Critchley101100%6/28/2021
Don Favager0110%6/25/2021
Naval Club101100%6/21/2021
Alan Lewis0110%6/14/2021
Biggest Win
Ann Wilson (+17)8/3/2018
Heaviest Defeat
Derek Macdonald (-15)7/29/2019
Best Season
201853% · 15 matches
Worst Season
202146% · 13 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
54% → 46%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
81343 known · 5 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-713% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
21-1460% win rate

By Division

League 218-14 (56%)
League 16-10 (38%)
League 137.5%
6W·10L·16 played
League 256.3%
18W·14L·32 played

Debut

Apr 27, 2018

Latest

Aug 16, 2021

Seasons Active

3 (3.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

16.0 (48 total)

Seasons

201820192021