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Crown Green Handicap

Tim Hawkins

Team: Pensby BDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

698

Current Handicap

12
Honours
Season:

11

Matches Played

2

Wins

9

Losses

18%

Win Rate

7.0

Avg Win Margin

7.0

Avg Loss Margin

2-3

Home Record

0-6

Away Record

8%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
11 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/31/2023

Only 11 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 152/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 11 matches

+12 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

5 May19 May9 Jun23 Jun21 Jul31 Jul-14916

Gives 12 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current12
Win Percentage(40%)
18%
score-0.64→contribution-0.25
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.0
score-0.17→contribution-0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.0
score+0.17→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
18%
score-0.64→contribution-0.06
Opponent Strength(10%)
866
score-0.80→contribution-0.08
Weighted Score-0.415
Sample Size Confidence
8%(11/39 matches)
Rating793 → shrunk 984→ adjusted 698
Handicap
12

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

2W9L11 matches·18.2% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby B2023League 3102820%
Pensby2023League 21010%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/31/2023vs Great MeolsA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
7/24/2023Eric AndersonH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
7/21/2023Phil CritchleyA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
6/30/2023Kevin OwensH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
6/23/2023vs Albany BA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
6/12/2023vs Hoylake Central & Melrose BA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 2
6/9/2023Sandra CooperA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
6/2/2023Kevin TurnerH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
5/19/2023Philip CurrieH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
5/12/2023Gillian McalenyH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 3
5/5/2023Ross MilliganA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl1 games · 0W
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundGrzegorz OrzechPort Sunlight Village & Works B14-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

8losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

8

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 1020% win rate↓ declining
LLLLLLLLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Great Meols0110%7/31/2023
Eric Anderson0110%7/24/2023
Phil Critchley0110%7/21/2023
Kevin Owens0110%6/30/2023
Albany B0110%6/23/2023
Hoylake Central & Melrose B0110%6/12/2023
Sandra Cooper0110%6/9/2023
Kevin Turner0110%6/2/2023
Philip Currie101100%5/19/2023
Gillian Mcaleny101100%5/12/2023
Biggest Win
Gillian Mcaleny (+13)5/12/2023
Heaviest Defeat
Unknown (-15)6/23/2023
Best Season
202318% · 11 matches
Worst Season
202318% · 11 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
40% → 0%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
8168 known · 3 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-625% win rate

By Division

League 32-8 (20%)
League 20-1 (0%)
League 20%
0W·1L·1 played
League 320%
2W·8L·10 played

Debut

May 5, 2023

Latest

Jul 31, 2023

Seasons Active

1 (3 mo span)

Matches / Season

11.0 (11 total)

Seasons

2023