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Crown Green Handicap

Steve O'Brien

Team: Billinge BCDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

685

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

21

Matches Played

6

Wins

15

Losses

29%

Win Rate

12.5

Avg Win Margin

9.8

Avg Loss Margin

4-8

Home Record

2-7

Away Record

26%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
21 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 5/28/2025

Only 21 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 21 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

30 Apr28 May2 Jul23 Jul8 Apr6 May28 May-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
29%
score-0.43→contribution-0.17
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
12.5
score+0.75→contribution+0.19
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.8
score-0.30→contribution-0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
30%
score-0.40→contribution-0.04
Opponent Strength(10%)
717
score-0.79→contribution-0.08
Weighted Score-0.148
Sample Size Confidence
26%(21/41 matches)
Rating956 → shrunk 988→ adjusted 688
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)678
Recency Blend28% (21 recent matches)
Final Rating685
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

6W15L21 matches·28.6% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Eagle & Child (Billinge)2024Division 31441028.6%
Billinge BC2025Division 372528.6%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
5/28/2025Bill MolyneuxH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 3
5/20/2025Peter WebsterA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
5/13/2025AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 3
5/6/2025Harry OrrettH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 3
4/22/2025Rob CulshawH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
4/15/2025Geoff HoughtonA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
4/8/2025Ged HopeH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
8/6/2024Ron SingletonA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
7/30/2024Steve BrackleyH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
7/23/2024Peter GeorgesonA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
7/16/2024Peter CookeH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
7/9/2024M WatkinsA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
7/2/2024Roy LesterH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
6/25/2024G FrodshamA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
6/18/2024Ron PickavanceH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
5/28/2024Anthony PeetH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
5/21/2024Mike HenthornA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
5/7/2024Ward HattonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
4/30/2024AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 3
4/24/2024Alan HalsallA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 3
4/16/2024G FrodshamH2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLWLL
Last 1020% win rate— steady
LLWLLWLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Absent202100%5/13/2025
G Frodsham0220%6/25/2024
Bill Molyneux0110%5/28/2025
Peter Webster0110%5/20/2025
Harry Orrett0110%5/6/2025
Rob Culshaw0110%4/22/2025
Geoff Houghton101100%4/15/2025
Ged Hope0110%4/8/2025
Ron Singleton0110%8/6/2024
Steve Brackley0110%7/30/2024
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)5/13/2025
Heaviest Defeat
G Frodsham (-19)4/16/2024
Best Season
202429% · 14 matches
Worst Season
202429% · 14 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
30% → 27%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
71721 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
6-1529% win rate
Division 328.6%
6W·15L·21 played

Debut

Apr 16, 2024

Latest

May 28, 2025

Seasons Active

2 (1.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

10.5 (21 total)

Seasons

20242025