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Crown Green Handicap

Ste O'Brien

Team: PoliceDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

848

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

8

Matches Played

3

Wins

5

Losses

38%

Win Rate

9.0

Avg Win Margin

10.2

Avg Loss Margin

1-2

Home Record

2-3

Away Record

4%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
8 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/1/2026

Only 8 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 152/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 8 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

21 Apr5 May2 Jun9 Jun28 Jul18 Aug26 Aug1 Sept-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
38%
score-0.25→contribution-0.10
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.0
score+0.17→contribution+0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.2
score-0.37→contribution-0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
38%
score-0.25→contribution-0.03
Opponent Strength(10%)
798
score-0.48→contribution-0.05
Weighted Score-0.186
Sample Size Confidence
4%(8/41 matches)
Rating944 → shrunk 998→ adjusted 848
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)846
Recency Blend11% (8 recent matches)
Final Rating848
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

3W5L8 matches·37.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Police2026Division 283537.5%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026Garry AppletonH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2026Alan BarkerA21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 2
8/18/2026Mike HitchcoxH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
7/28/2026Liam RogersH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
6/9/2026Peter BannonA1-21LOSS-20LeagueDivision 2
6/2/2026Ron PickavanceA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
5/5/2026Anthony LittleA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
4/21/2026Ged HopeA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

2wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WWLLL
Last 1038% win rate— steady
WWLLLWLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Garry Appleton101100%9/1/2026
Alan Barker101100%8/26/2026
Mike Hitchcox0110%8/18/2026
Liam Rogers0110%7/28/2026
Peter Bannon0110%6/9/2026
Ron Pickavance101100%6/2/2026
Anthony Little0110%5/5/2026
Ged Hope0110%4/21/2026
Biggest Win
Alan Barker (+18)8/26/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Peter Bannon (-20)6/9/2026
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
25% → 50%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
7988 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
3-538% win rate
Division 237.5%
3W·5L·8 played

Debut

Apr 21, 2026

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

1 (4 mo span)

Matches / Season

8.0 (8 total)

Seasons

2026