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Crown Green Handicap

Simon Downing

Team: Little Sutton BDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

868

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

26

Matches Played

17

Wins

9

Losses

65%

Win Rate

7.9

Avg Win Margin

5.7

Avg Loss Margin

10-3

Home Record

7-6

Away Record

62%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
26 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/13/2026

A solid recent sample: 26 of 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins17/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 26 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

21 May17 Jun24 Jul19 May9 Jun14 Jul23 Jul13 Aug-125811

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(35%)
65%
score+0.31→contribution+0.11
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
7.9
score-0.01→contribution-0.00
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
5.7
score+0.39→contribution+0.06
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
60%
score+0.20→contribution+0.02
Opponent Strength(15%)
802
score+0.09→contribution+0.01
Weighted Score+0.202
Sample Size Confidence
62%(26/33 matches)
Rating1081 → shrunk 1050→ adjusted 871
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)861
Recency Blend35% (26 recent matches)
Final Rating868
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

17W9L26 matches·65.4% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Little Sutton B2026Division C158753.3%
Little Sutton2025Division C119281.8%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/13/2026Keith BaileyA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
8/6/2026Andy PritchardA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
8/4/2026Michael HewittA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
7/30/2026Stephen RoachA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
7/23/2026Colin TurnerA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/21/2026Joe RiceH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/16/2026Pauline WelchA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
7/14/2026Doreen OMahonyH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
7/7/2026Carole WhyteH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
6/16/2026Joy RynkiewiczH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
6/9/2026Nancy BrabanderH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
6/2/2026Alan WilsonA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
5/26/2026Dee ButlerH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
5/19/2026Bernie VollerA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
5/5/2026Bill DowH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
8/12/2025Mal SmithH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
7/29/2025Pat MclaughlinH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
7/24/2025Mark PeersA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
7/22/2025Steve BallH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/1/2025Alan MathewsH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
6/17/2025Carole WhyteH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
6/10/2025Tony McdonoughA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
6/3/2025Peter AherneH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision C
5/29/2025vs Pensby CA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
5/21/2025vs Bromborough Social ClubA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
5/13/2025Ken HannawayA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLLWL
Last 1060% win rate↓ declining
WLLWLLWWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Carole Whyte202100%7/7/2026
Keith Bailey101100%8/13/2026
Andy Pritchard0110%8/6/2026
Michael Hewitt0110%8/4/2026
Stephen Roach101100%7/30/2026
Colin Turner0110%7/23/2026
Joe Rice0110%7/21/2026
Pauline Welch101100%7/16/2026
Doreen OMahony101100%7/14/2026
Joy Rynkiewicz101100%6/16/2026
Biggest Win
Peter Aherne (+18)6/3/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Bernie Voller (-13)5/19/2026
Best Season
202582% · 11 matches
Worst Season
202653% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
69% → 62%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
77623 known · 3 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
15-768% win rate
Division C65.4%
17W·9L·26 played

Debut

May 13, 2025

Latest

Aug 13, 2026

Seasons Active

2 (1.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

13.0 (26 total)

Seasons

20252026