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Crown Green Handicap

Sarah Parnell

Team: Pensby CDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

684

Current Handicap

12
Honours
Season:

47

Matches Played

18

Wins

29

Losses

38%

Win Rate

7.5

Avg Win Margin

8.2

Avg Loss Margin

12-13

Home Record

6-16

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
47 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/20/2019

A large recent sample: 47 matches in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 33-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins18/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 47 matches

+12 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

21 Jun27 Jul23 May12 Jul15 Aug5 Jun9 Jul20 Aug-13713

Gives 12 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current12
Win Percentage(35%)
38%
score-0.23→contribution-0.08
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
7.5
score-0.08→contribution-0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.2
score-0.03→contribution-0.01
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
45%
score-0.10→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(15%)
946
score-0.30→contribution-0.04
Weighted Score-0.164
Sample Size Confidence
100%(47/33 matches)
Rating934 → shrunk 934→ adjusted 684
Handicap
12

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

18W29L47 matches·38.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby C2017–2019Division C47182938.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/20/2019Tucker JacksonA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
8/14/2019vs Heswall Rbl BH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
8/7/2019vs Hoylake Central & MelroseA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
8/1/2019Nigel WardA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
7/30/2019Steve DabbsA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
7/24/2019vs KendalH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
7/23/2019Peter LucasA21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision C
7/9/2019Gordon LavenderA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
7/3/2019vs Sea DogH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
6/27/2019Gerda EvansA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
6/19/2019vs Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
6/12/2019vs Bebington ParkH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
6/5/2019vs Bromborough Pool BH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
5/22/2019vs Thingwall BH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision C
5/15/2019vs Bromborough Recs BH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
5/9/2019Joe RiceA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
5/1/2019vs Hoylake Central & MelroseH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
8/21/2018Jim MasonA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
8/15/2018vs Bebington ParkH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
8/8/2018vs Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
8/1/2018vs Hoylake Central & MelroseA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
7/26/2018Leslie HobbsA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
7/25/2018vs Oxton Cons CH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
7/17/2018Gordon BarnesH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
7/12/2018Alan GreenA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
7/4/2018Dave FinlayH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
7/3/2018vs Bebington ParkA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
6/13/2018vs Hoylake Central & MelroseH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
6/6/2018vs Oxton Cons CA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
5/30/2018vs NestonH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
5/23/2018vs Sea DogH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
5/10/2018Kathryn McaseyA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
8/16/2017vs NestonH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
8/10/2017Sue TilstonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
8/2/2017vs Sea DogH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
8/1/2017Chris Griffiths-griptonA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
7/27/2017Phil DuckersA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/26/2017vs Albany BH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
7/12/2017vs Oxton Cons CA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/6/2017Alan HoughtonA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
7/5/2017vs Bromborough Recs BH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
6/29/2017Alan EverittA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
6/21/2017vs Thingwall BH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision C
6/15/2017George LowdenA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
6/7/2017vs Bebington ParkH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
5/31/2017vs Heswall Rbl BH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
5/10/2017vs Oxton Cons CH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
1 Cup Title Won
George ONeill Trophy 2017· Pensby C
George ONeill Trophy4 games · 2W 1×
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundGeorge Lowden / John WyburnSea Dog15-8WINLOST
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundPeter Milne / Brian LawrenceOxton Cons2-15LOSSLOST
2017 Winner2 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Semi Final RoundMike Brook / Stuart WorthingtonHeswall Rbl11-15LOSSWON
Final RoundIan Muskett / Brian SommervilleTixall15-4WINWON
Geoff Clare Trophy2 games · 1W
20192 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundFrank Leech SrKendal14-21LOSSWON
Final RoundRob DobbyBebington Park21-17WINLOST

Current Streak

2wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

7

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WWLLL
Last 1040% win rate— steady
WWLLLWWLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Hoylake Central & Melrose13425%8/7/2019
Bebington Park31475%6/12/2019
Oxton Cons C0440%7/25/2018
Sea Dog12333.3%7/3/2019
Heswall Rbl B11250%8/14/2019
Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks B11250%6/19/2019
Thingwall B202100%5/22/2019
Bromborough Recs B0220%5/15/2019
Neston11250%5/30/2018
Tucker Jackson101100%8/20/2019
Biggest Win
Unknown (+17)5/22/2019
Heaviest Defeat
Unknown (-15)5/1/2019
Nemesis
Oxton Cons C0-4 H2H
Favourite Victim
Bebington Park3-1 H2H
Best Season
201853% · 15 matches
Worst Season
201713% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
30% → 46%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
83215 known · 32 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
2-167% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-1017% win rate
Division C38.3%
18W·29L·47 played

Debut

May 10, 2017

Latest

Aug 20, 2019

Seasons Active

3 (2.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

15.7 (47 total)

Seasons

201720182019