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Crown Green Handicap

Robert Connolly

Team: Lady MargaretsDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

848

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

28

Matches Played

16

Wins

12

Losses

57%

Win Rate

6.9

Avg Win Margin

10.6

Avg Loss Margin

9-7

Home Record

7-5

Away Record

47%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
28 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/27/2024

Only 28 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 156/15

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 28 matches

+15 Rising
5 Jul2 Aug30 Aug20 Jun8 Aug5 Sept27 Aug-14916
Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
57%
score+0.14→contribution+0.06
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
6.9
score-0.19→contribution-0.05
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.6
score-0.43→contribution-0.06
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
70%
score+0.40→contribution+0.04
Opponent Strength(10%)
852
score-0.02→contribution-0.00
Weighted Score-0.016
Sample Size Confidence
47%(28/41 matches)
Rating995 → shrunk 998→ adjusted 848
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

16W12L28 matches·57.1% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Lady Margarets2022–2024Division 228161257.1%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/27/2024Paul WoodwardH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
8/20/2024Noel ParrA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
4/30/2024Brian YoungH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
4/16/2024Peter BrownA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
9/5/2023P MooreA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
8/29/2023Chris NicholH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
8/22/2023Noel SwiftA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
8/15/2023Ken HalsallH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
8/8/2023Dave RogersA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2
8/1/2023Stan WilliamsonH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
7/4/2023Mal PerksH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
6/27/2023Steve SaundersA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
6/20/2023James HopkinsA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
5/30/2023Alan WrightH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
4/11/2023G EdmundsH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
9/6/2022G FrodshamH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
8/30/2022Joe MonksA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
8/23/2022Brian PillingH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
8/22/2022Eric DaviesH21-1WIN+20LeagueDivision 2
8/9/2022Jimmy NolanH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
8/2/2022Graham ForrestA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
7/26/2022D HughesH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
7/19/2022Phil O'ConnorH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
7/12/2022George MarshA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
7/5/2022Mike TooleH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
6/28/2022Paul SeddonA1-21LOSS-20LeagueDivision 2
6/21/2022John CloughH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
6/14/2022D WoodsA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

6

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
LWLWW
Last 1070% win rate— steady
LWLWWWWWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Paul Woodward0110%8/27/2024
Noel Parr101100%8/20/2024
Brian Young0110%4/30/2024
Peter Brown101100%4/16/2024
P Moore101100%9/5/2023
Chris Nichol101100%8/29/2023
Noel Swift101100%8/22/2023
Ken Halsall101100%8/15/2023
Dave Rogers0110%8/8/2023
Stan Williamson101100%8/1/2023
Biggest Win
Eric Davies (+20)8/22/2022
Heaviest Defeat
Paul Seddon (-20)6/28/2022
Best Season
202364% · 11 matches
Worst Season
202254% · 13 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
50% → 64%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
85228 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-150% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
15-1158% win rate
Division 257.1%
16W·12L·28 played

Debut

Jun 14, 2022

Latest

Aug 27, 2024

Seasons Active

3 (2.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

9.3 (28 total)

Seasons

202220232024