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Crown Green Handicap

Ray Hayes

Top 10%
Team: Lane Ends ADivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

1025

Current Handicap

5
Honours
Season:

34

Matches Played

20

Wins

14

Losses

59%

Win Rate

9.3

Avg Win Margin

11.1

Avg Loss Margin

13-3

Home Record

7-11

Away Record

69%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
34 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/1/2026

A solid recent sample: 34 of 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins20/50

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 34 matches

+5 Rising
20 Aug6 May17 Jun29 Jul5 May16 Jun28 Jul1 Sept-11357
Started0
Lowest0
Current5
Win Percentage(40%)
59%
score+0.18→contribution+0.07
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.3
score+0.22→contribution+0.06
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
11.1
score-0.51→contribution-0.08
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
70%
score+0.40→contribution+0.04
Opponent Strength(10%)
965
score+0.14→contribution+0.01
Weighted Score+0.104
Sample Size Confidence
69%(34/41 matches)
Rating1031 → shrunk 1021
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)1031
Recency Blend40% (34 recent matches)
Final Rating1025
Handicap
5

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

20W14L34 matches·58.8% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Lane Ends A2024–2026Division 134201458.8%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026John DuncanH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
8/25/2026Peter LindleyA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
8/18/2026Trevor BoldH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
8/11/2026Matthew CorlessH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
8/4/2026AbsentA21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 1
7/28/2026Anthony MaleyH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
7/21/2026Phil O'ConnorA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 1
7/14/2026B WhalleyH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 1
6/23/2026David TickleA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 1
6/16/2026Alan WaterworthH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
6/9/2026Phil AspinallA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
6/2/2026David MorrisA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
5/20/2026Keith WilliamsA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
5/5/2026Danny EustaceA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
4/28/2026Lee DowningH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 1
4/7/2026Rob PilkingtonA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
8/5/2025Tex AllenH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
7/29/2025Alfie CatterallA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
7/22/2025Stuart BrandH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
7/15/2025Graham BakerH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
7/8/2025Wayne DolanA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
6/24/2025Harvey BirchA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 1
6/17/2025Daniel LofthouseH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
6/10/2025John JellyA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
6/3/2025John StirzakerH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
5/27/2025Chris AshtonA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 1
5/20/2025Alan BarkerH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
5/6/2025Graham BakerA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
4/29/2025Stephen CardwellH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
4/15/2025AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 1
4/8/2025Chris DagnallA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
8/27/2024Daniel LofthouseA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 1
8/20/2024Liam GregsonH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
8/14/2024Eric DaviesA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WLWWW
Last 1080% win rate— steady
WLWWWWLWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Absent202100%8/4/2026
Graham Baker11250%7/15/2025
Daniel Lofthouse0220%6/17/2025
John Duncan101100%9/1/2026
Peter Lindley0110%8/25/2026
Trevor Bold101100%8/18/2026
Matthew Corless101100%8/11/2026
Anthony Maley101100%7/28/2026
Phil O'Connor0110%7/21/2026
B Whalley101100%7/14/2026
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)8/4/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Daniel Lofthouse (-17)8/27/2024
Best Season
202675% · 16 matches
Worst Season
202553% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
47% → 71%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
96534 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
9-950% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
11-569% win rate
Division 158.8%
20W·14L·34 played

Debut

Aug 14, 2024

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.0 yr span)

Matches / Season

11.3 (34 total)

Seasons

202420252026