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Crown Green Handicap

Ray Billyard

Team: Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

817

Current Handicap

10
Honours
Season:

29

Matches Played

10

Wins

19

Losses

34%

Win Rate

6.2

Avg Win Margin

6.1

Avg Loss Margin

5-5

Home Record

5-14

Away Record

77%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
29 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/10/2017

A solid recent sample: 29 of 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins10/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 29 matches

+10 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

26 Apr31 May16 Jun13 Jul21 Jul4 Aug16 Aug10 Aug-13712

Gives 10 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(35%)
34%
score-0.31→contribution-0.11
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
6.2
score-0.30→contribution-0.07
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.1
score+0.32→contribution+0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
30%
score-0.40→contribution-0.04
Opponent Strength(15%)
957
score-0.36→contribution-0.05
Weighted Score-0.228
Sample Size Confidence
77%(29/33 matches)
Rating909 → shrunk 930→ adjusted 817
Handicap
10

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

10W19L29 matches·34.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks B2016–2017Division C1651131.3%
Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks2016–2017Division B, Division A135838.5%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/10/2017Phil SpencerA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
8/3/2017Eddie ThomasA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision B
8/25/2016vs Hoylake CentralA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
8/17/2016vs Oxton Cons CH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
8/16/2016Gordon CapperH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
8/15/2016Dave RowlandH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision A
8/10/2016vs Pensby CA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
8/9/2016Neil DunnA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision A
8/4/2016Wayne RobertsH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision A
8/4/2016Chris KissackA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
8/2/2016Charlie WardA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision A
7/21/2016Steve TelfordA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision A
7/21/2016Simon CamdenH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
7/19/2016Alan HeatonH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision A
7/18/2016Ricky PowellH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision A
7/14/2016Paul RolfeA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision A
7/13/2016vs Oxton Cons CA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
7/7/2016Stephen McloughlinA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
6/28/2016John MountfordA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
6/22/2016vs Hoylake CentralH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
6/16/2016Dave HarrisonA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
6/9/2016Mark HadfieldA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision A
6/7/2016Mark MasonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
6/2/2016Peter BuckneyH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision C
5/31/2016Simon CamdenA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
5/19/2016Brian GouldsonA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision A
5/17/2016David CruickshankA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
5/12/2016Peter WinstanleyH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision A
4/26/2016Nobby ClarkA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision A
Geoff Clare Trophy1 games · 0W
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundSimon CamdenHeswall Rbl B11-21LOSSLOST
Leverhulme Cup1 games · 1W
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundTed SullivanLever Club21-15WINLOST

Current Streak

6losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 1020% win rate↓ declining
LLLLLLWLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Hoylake Central0220%8/25/2016
Oxton Cons C0220%8/17/2016
Simon Camden11250%7/21/2016
Phil Spencer0110%8/10/2017
Eddie Thomas0110%8/3/2017
Gordon Capper0110%8/16/2016
Dave Rowland0110%8/15/2016
Pensby C101100%8/10/2016
Neil Dunn0110%8/9/2016
Wayne Roberts101100%8/4/2016
Biggest Win
Ricky Powell (+16)7/18/2016
Heaviest Defeat
Steve Telford (-15)7/21/2016
Best Season
201637% · 27 matches
Worst Season
201637% · 27 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
36% → 33%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
94121 known · 8 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
4-357% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
4-1029% win rate

By Division

Division C5-11 (31%)
Division A5-7 (42%)
Division B0-1 (0%)
Division A41.7%
5W·7L·12 played
Division B0%
0W·1L·1 played
Division C31.3%
5W·11L·16 played

Debut

Apr 26, 2016

Latest

Aug 10, 2017

Seasons Active

2 (1.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

14.5 (29 total)

Seasons

20162017