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Crown Green Handicap

Ray Billyard

Team: Port Sunlight Village & WorksDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

774

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

21

Matches Played

12

Wins

9

Losses

57%

Win Rate

8.1

Avg Win Margin

6.4

Avg Loss Margin

8-4

Home Record

4-5

Away Record

29%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
21 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/11/2017

Only 21 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 156/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 21 matches

+11 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

13 May20 May8 Jul29 Jul8 Aug31 Jul11 Aug-1371115

Gives 11 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(40%)
57%
score+0.14→contribution+0.06
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.1
score+0.01→contribution+0.00
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.4
score+0.26→contribution+0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
55%
score+0.10→contribution+0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
943
score+0.08→contribution+0.01
Weighted Score+0.117
Sample Size Confidence
29%(21/39 matches)
Rating1059 → shrunk 1017→ adjusted 774
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

12W9L21 matches·57.1% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Port Sunlight Village/Works2016League 2, League 3, Division 3, League 1158753.3%
Port Sunlight Village & Works B2017League 342250%
Port Sunlight Village/Works B2016League 3, Division 3220100%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/11/2017Sue TilstonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
8/7/2017John MilnsA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
8/4/2017Linda HowardA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
7/31/2017David HollywoodH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
8/19/2016vs Upton Victory Hall BH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
8/12/2016vs Upton Victory Hall BA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
8/8/2016vs ThingwallA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2016vs ThingwallH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
8/1/2016vs New Brighton Quarry Vikings CH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 2
7/29/2016vs New Brighton Quarry Vikings CA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
7/22/2016vs LiscardA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
7/15/2016vs LiscardH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
7/8/2016vs Hoylake Central BH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
7/1/2016vs Hoylake Central BA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
6/13/2016Bill GrayH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
5/20/2016vs Lever Club BA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
5/20/2016Natasha StrattonH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
5/16/2016vs Lever Club BH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
5/13/2016vs Manor Road BH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 1
4/29/2016vs KendalA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 2
4/22/2016vs KendalH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 2

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWLWL
Last 1040% win rate— steady
LWLWLLLWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Upton Victory Hall B0220%8/19/2016
Thingwall11250%8/8/2016
New Brighton Quarry Vikings C11250%8/1/2016
Liscard202100%7/22/2016
Hoylake Central B202100%7/8/2016
Lever Club B0220%5/20/2016
Kendal202100%4/29/2016
Sue Tilston0110%8/11/2017
John Milns101100%8/7/2017
Linda Howard0110%8/4/2017
Biggest Win
Unknown (+13)8/1/2016
Heaviest Defeat
Unknown (-11)8/8/2016
Best Season
201659% · 17 matches
Worst Season
201659% · 17 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
70% → 45%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
8006 known · 15 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-0100% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
3-260% win rate

By Division

League 34-3 (57%)
Division 35-2 (71%)
League 23-3 (50%)
League 10-1 (0%)
League 10%
0W·1L·1 played
League 250%
3W·3L·6 played
League 357.1%
4W·3L·7 played
Division 371.4%
5W·2L·7 played

Debut

Apr 22, 2016

Latest

Aug 11, 2017

Seasons Active

2 (1.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

10.5 (21 total)

Seasons

20162017