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Crown Green Handicap

Phil Watkins

Team: Parish ChurchDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

712

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

56

Matches Played

27

Wins

29

Losses

48%

Win Rate

10.1

Avg Win Margin

7.1

Avg Loss Margin

16-13

Home Record

11-16

Away Record

17%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
17 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/3/2024

Only 17 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins27/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 56 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

8 Jun26 Jul2 May20 Jun8 Aug23 Apr17 Jul3 Sept-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
53%
score+0.06→contribution+0.02
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
12.0
score+0.67→contribution+0.17
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.1
score+0.15→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
53%
score+0.06→contribution+0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
655
score-0.34→contribution-0.03
Weighted Score+0.184
Sample Size Confidence
17%(17/41 matches)
Rating1055 → shrunk 1009→ adjusted 709
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)718
Recency Blend23% (17 recent matches)
Final Rating711
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

27W29L56 matches·48.2% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Parish Church2022–2024Division 356272948.2%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/3/2024Ray IllingA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
8/27/2024Peter GeorgesonH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
8/23/2024Ernie HarrisonA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
8/20/2024Harry SmithA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
8/6/2024Ian GerrardH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
7/30/2024Alan TaggartA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
7/24/2024Chris ShepherdA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
7/17/2024L JonesA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
7/9/2024Mike MulcrowH21-1WIN+20LeagueDivision 3
7/2/2024Tony FinnertyA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
6/25/2024Tom KirbyH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
6/11/2024Steve SmithH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
6/4/2024P MurphyH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
5/14/2024Phil RayH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
4/23/2024Ian HillH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
4/16/2024D BoardmanA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 3
4/9/2024Ray BatesH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 3
9/5/2023Alec EdwardsH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
8/29/2023Frank CardwellA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
8/22/2023Mike SmithH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
8/16/2023Dave AthertonA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
8/8/2023Graham OwenH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
8/1/2023Fred HullA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
7/25/2023Ken NaylorH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
7/18/2023W PenningtonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
7/11/2023Andy HillH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 3
7/4/2023David CunliffeH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
6/27/2023Andy WeaverA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 3
6/20/2023Graham FenneyH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
6/13/2023Andrew ValentineA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
6/6/2023B MurphyH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
5/30/2023John MayerA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
5/23/2023Les HattonH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
5/16/2023Ken ByromA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
5/9/2023W PenningtonH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
5/2/2023Alan WrightA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
4/18/2023Nick BateH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
4/11/2023Les RobertsA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
9/6/2022James HopkinsA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
8/30/2022John StampH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
8/23/2022Ron LambA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
8/16/2022Les TeelingH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 3
7/26/2022Peter PeersA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
7/19/2022Eric ThorleyH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
7/12/2022Ray BatesA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
7/5/2022Mike HitchcoxA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
6/28/2022Martin JonesH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
6/21/2022Malcolm WattersonA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
6/14/2022Tony GordonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
6/8/2022Les TeelingA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
5/24/2022Les ClareA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
5/17/2022Rick AshcroftH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
5/10/2022Charlie McFarlaneA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
5/3/2022AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 3
4/26/2022Mike HitchcoxH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
4/12/2022Ged FinneyH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
WLLLL
Last 1050% win rate↓ declining
WLLLLLWWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ray Bates202100%4/9/2024
W Pennington11250%7/18/2023
Les Teeling202100%8/16/2022
Mike Hitchcox0220%7/5/2022
Ray Illing101100%9/3/2024
Peter Georgeson0110%8/27/2024
Ernie Harrison0110%8/23/2024
Harry Smith0110%8/20/2024
Ian Gerrard0110%8/6/2024
Alan Taggart0110%7/30/2024
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)5/3/2022
Heaviest Defeat
Andy Weaver (-16)6/27/2023
Best Season
202267% · 18 matches
Worst Season
202329% · 21 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
54% → 43%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
70156 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
27-2948% win rate
Division 348.2%
27W·29L·56 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 3, 2024

Seasons Active

3 (2.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

18.7 (56 total)

Seasons

202220232024