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Crown Green Handicap

Phil Nielson

Team: PensbyDivision: Division ALast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

796

Current Handicap

10
Honours
Season:

71

Matches Played

29

Wins

42

Losses

41%

Win Rate

7.0

Avg Win Margin

8.0

Avg Loss Margin

19-16

Home Record

10-26

Away Record

80%

Handicap Confidence

Provisional
5 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 5/14/2026

The handicap is built on a small recent sample (5 matches so far). It is deliberately conservative and will move as more results come in.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player6/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 71 matches

+10 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

26 Apr12 Jul11 May6 Jul3 Aug14 Jun31 Jul4 Jul14 May-125811

Gives 10 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(35%)
20%
score-0.60→contribution-0.21
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
3.0
score-0.83→contribution-0.19
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
11.0
score-0.50→contribution-0.07
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
20%
score-0.60→contribution-0.06
Opponent Strength(15%)
1014
score-0.59→contribution-0.09
Weighted Score-0.638
Sample Size Confidence
80%(5/33 matches)
Rating745 → shrunk 796
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)796
Recency Blend7% (5 recent matches)
Final Rating796
Handicap
10

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

29W42L71 matches·40.8% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby2016–2026Division A68284041.2%
Pensby C2019Division C2020%
Pensby B2017Division B110100%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
5/14/2026Paul Draper *H7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision A
5/5/2026Danny MorrisA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision A
7/10/2025Gary LaceyA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision A
6/10/2025Jake McelnayH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision A
5/15/2025John SmithA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision A
8/14/2019vs Heswall Rbl BH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
7/30/2019Peter ChallinorA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
7/11/2019Geoff JonesA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision A
7/9/2019Anthony ThompsonH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision A
7/4/2019Peter McbrideA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision A
6/27/2019Mary FishwickH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision A
5/14/2019Mark HoughtonA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision A
5/9/2019Jim MannionH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision A
8/16/2018Ricky PowellH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision A
8/14/2018Ian PiercyA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision A
8/9/2018Mike BrookH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision A
8/2/2018# Mo SavilleA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision A
7/31/2018Rob OllerheadH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision A
7/26/2018Mary FishwickA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision A
7/19/2018Mike BrannonA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision A
7/12/2018# Stan NewellA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision A
7/10/2018Dave WalkerH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision A
7/5/2018Chris MorrisonH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision A
7/4/2018Neil HumphreysA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision A
6/28/2018Mark BainbridgeH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision A
6/21/2018Len MastermanA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision A
6/14/2018John LewisH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision A
6/7/2018John Gommersall JrA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision A
5/31/2018Gerry FaulknerH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision A
5/17/2018Babs WoodwardH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision A
5/15/2018Peter McgrathH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision A
8/22/2017Peter HankinA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision A
8/17/2017Steve SnowH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision A
8/15/2017Ian JonesH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision A
8/10/2017Edna CookA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
8/3/2017Steve GreenfieldH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision A
8/1/2017Tony HulleyA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision A
7/27/2017vs ParkfieldH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision A
7/27/2017John HollywoodA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
7/25/2017John KayllA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision A
7/20/2017Ian MuskettH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision A
7/13/2017Les JonesA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision A
7/11/2017Roger SimcoeH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision A
7/6/2017Geoff NewnsH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision A
7/4/2017Brian LongerA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision A
6/29/2017Mike HalseyA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision A
6/15/2017Ray LynchA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision A
6/8/2017Bill NaylorH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision A
6/1/2017Barbara McburneyA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision A
5/25/2017David WhitesideH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision A
5/18/2017Robin MayA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision A
5/16/2017Russell SeymourH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
5/11/2017Tony LeeA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision A
8/22/2016Mark HadfieldH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision A
8/9/2016Ted SullivanH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision A
8/3/2016Trevor PlantA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision A
8/2/2016Mark WarringtonH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision A
7/21/2016Ricky PowellH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision A
7/19/2016Ian MuskettA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
7/18/2016Chris EcclesA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision A
7/14/2016Martin SmallH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision A
7/12/2016Alan HeatonH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision A
7/7/2016Graham SandlandA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision A
6/30/2016Ray LynchH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision A
6/28/2016Nick WoodwardA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision A
6/7/2016Andy WainwrightA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision A
5/31/2016Wayne JevonsA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision A
5/19/2016Ian MuskettH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision A
5/17/2016Ian HawesA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision A
5/12/2016Stuart WorthingtonA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision A
4/26/2016Peter McbrideH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision A
1 Cup Title Won
George ONeill Trophy 2017· Pensby C
George ONeill Trophy6 games · 2W 1×
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundPhil Critchley / Sam ThompsonThingwall15-9WINLOST
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundRick Murray / Jim OconnorParkfield14-15LOSSLOST
2017 Winner4 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundJim Mannion / Alan DunbarPort Sunlight V&w15-5WINWON
Round of 16 RoundGordon Lavender / Ann ConnellBromborough Recs B7-15LOSSLOST
Semi Final RoundGlynis Lomax / Ian MoxhamHeswall Rbl9-15LOSSWON
Final RoundJordan Mcdermott / Andrew HalseyTixall9-15LOSSWON
Leverhulme Cup12 games · 7W
20252 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundJohn BuckleyRoyden Hall21-16WINWON
Quarters RoundNick Burridge JrGladstone5-21LOSSLOST
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Semi Final RoundColin PortisLever Club12-21LOSSLOST
20184 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundAdam HormbreyLedsham Royal21-11WINWON
Quarters RoundArthur HallPt Sunlight Vill & Wks11-21LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundBob JonesThingwall21-5WINWON
Final RoundGeorge ArgyleLever Club B21-15WINLOST
20173 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundAaron RichardsKendal21-16WINWON
Round of 16 RoundStephen GilfoyleHeswall Rbl B21-8WINWON
Quarters RoundSue NugentHoylake Central & Melrose15-21LOSSWON
20162 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundArthur HallPt Sunlight Vill & Wks21-2WINWON
Round of 16 RoundWayne JevonsLedsham Royal13-21LOSSLOST
Geoff Clare Trophy1 games · 1W
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundJoe LandsboroughKendal21-7WINWON

Current Streak

3losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

6

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

11

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLWL
Last 1020% win rate— steady
LLLWLLLLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ian Muskett12333.3%7/20/2017
Peter Mcbride11250%7/4/2019
Mary Fishwick202100%6/27/2019
Ricky Powell11250%8/16/2018
Ray Lynch0220%6/15/2017
Paul Draper *0110%5/14/2026
Danny Morris0110%5/5/2026
Gary Lacey0110%7/10/2025
Jake Mcelnay101100%6/10/2025
John Smith0110%5/15/2025
Biggest Win
Ian Muskett (+17)7/20/2017
Heaviest Defeat
Graham Sandland (-16)7/7/2016
Best Season
201750% · 22 matches
Worst Season
201628% · 18 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
40% → 42%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
97359 known · 12 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
8-2227% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
15-1452% win rate

By Division

Division A28-40 (41%)
Division C0-2 (0%)
Division B1-0 (100%)
Division A41.2%
28W·40L·68 played
Division B100%
1W·0L·1 played
Division C0%
0W·2L·2 played

Debut

Apr 26, 2016

Latest

May 14, 2026

Seasons Active

6 (10.0 yr span)

Matches / Season

11.8 (71 total)

Seasons

201620172018201920252026