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Crown Green Handicap

Phil Hardy

Team: Pensby BDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

761

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

26

Matches Played

7

Wins

19

Losses

27%

Win Rate

8.1

Avg Win Margin

10.4

Avg Loss Margin

4-7

Home Record

3-12

Away Record

62%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
26 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/19/2017

A solid recent sample: 26 of 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 26 matches

+11 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

26 Apr31 May9 Jun7 Jul26 Jul16 May15 Jun19 Jul-13712

Gives 11 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(35%)
27%
score-0.46→contribution-0.16
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
8.1
score+0.02→contribution+0.01
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.4
score-0.40→contribution-0.06
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
25%
score-0.50→contribution-0.05
Opponent Strength(15%)
898
score-0.58→contribution-0.09
Weighted Score-0.361
Sample Size Confidence
62%(26/33 matches)
Rating855 → shrunk 910→ adjusted 761
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

7W19L26 matches·26.9% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby B2016–2017Division B2161528.6%
Pensby C2016–2017Division C51420%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/19/2017vs Tixall CA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision B
7/6/2017Teresa DobsonA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
6/29/2017Anthony ClareA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
6/22/2017Barry CallisterA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
6/15/2017Tracy GrahamH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision B
6/13/2017Alan QuintonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision B
6/1/2017Joe LandsboroughH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision B
5/25/2017Ken WrightA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
5/16/2017Ken JonesA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
8/9/2016Natasha StrattonA1-21LOSS-20LeagueDivision B
8/4/2016John KayllH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision B
8/2/2016Tony LeeA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision B
7/26/2016John BurkeA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
7/14/2016Philip JonesA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision B
7/12/2016Irene BrettA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
7/7/2016Derek WadeH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision B
7/5/2016Roy FergusonH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
6/16/2016Chris TippeyH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
6/9/2016Jim IvanoffA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision B
6/7/2016Derek WigfieldH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision B
6/2/2016Colin GlanvilleA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
5/31/2016Cliff UptonH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
5/17/2016Malcolm RannardH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision B
5/12/2016Mike DohertyH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision B
5/10/2016Derek WadeA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision B
4/26/2016Bernie LearA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
George ONeill Trophy5 games · 2W
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundGordon Ditchfield / Sue MargerisonBebington Park15-11WINLOST
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundColin Portis / Liam MasseyLever Club9-15LOSSLOST
20163 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundEdwin Berry / Dave EdwardsBebington Park B15-7WINWON
Round of 16 RoundIan Jones / Andrew HalseyTixall B10-15LOSSWON
Quarters RoundJim Mannion / Alan DunbarPort Sunlight V&w8-15LOSSWON
Geoff Clare Trophy2 games · 0W
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundTerry LanganBromborough Recs B16-21LOSSLOST
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundPeter LoveOxton Cons C19-21LOSSLOST
Leverhulme Cup1 games · 0W
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundDave WilliamsTixall B7-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

4losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLLW
Last 1020% win rate— steady
LLLLWLLLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Derek Wade202100%7/7/2016
Tixall C0110%7/19/2017
Teresa Dobson0110%7/6/2017
Anthony Clare0110%6/29/2017
Barry Callister0110%6/22/2017
Tracy Graham101100%6/15/2017
Alan Quinton0110%6/13/2017
Joe Landsborough0110%6/1/2017
Ken Wright0110%5/25/2017
Ken Jones101100%5/16/2017
Biggest Win
Tracy Graham (+18)6/15/2017
Heaviest Defeat
Natasha Stratton (-20)8/9/2016
Best Season
201629% · 17 matches
Worst Season
201629% · 17 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
31% → 23%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
85318 known · 8 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-0100% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
4-1324% win rate

By Division

Division B6-15 (29%)
Division C1-4 (20%)
Division B28.6%
6W·15L·21 played
Division C20%
1W·4L·5 played

Debut

Apr 26, 2016

Latest

Jul 19, 2017

Seasons Active

2 (1.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

13.0 (26 total)

Seasons

20162017