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Crown Green Handicap

Peter Speakman

Team: Parr ConsDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

808

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

22

Matches Played

6

Wins

16

Losses

27%

Win Rate

5.2

Avg Win Margin

7.4

Avg Loss Margin

4-7

Home Record

2-9

Away Record

29%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
22 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/19/2025

Only 22 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 22 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

9 Apr7 May4 Jun2 Jul6 Aug22 Apr13 May19 Aug-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
27%
score-0.45→contribution-0.18
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
5.2
score-0.47→contribution-0.12
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.4
score+0.09→contribution+0.01
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
30%
score-0.40→contribution-0.04
Opponent Strength(10%)
878
score-0.60→contribution-0.06
Weighted Score-0.386
Sample Size Confidence
29%(22/41 matches)
Rating884 → shrunk 967→ adjusted 817
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)788
Recency Blend29% (22 recent matches)
Final Rating808
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

6W16L22 matches·27.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Parr Cons2024–2025Division 22261627.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/19/2025Alex WallaceH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/3/2025Neil FitzsimonH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
5/27/2025Brian McCarrickA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
5/13/2025Peter LindleyA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
5/6/2025Chris NicholH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
4/29/2025R Cash (Jnr)A12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
4/22/2025Lee BolanA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
9/10/2024Mal PerksA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
8/20/2024David FryerH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
8/6/2024Brian TilleyH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
7/16/2024D WoodsA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
7/9/2024Greg WinstanleyH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
7/2/2024Jack HowarthA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
6/18/2024Ken ParrH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/11/2024David BrandA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
6/4/2024Kevin MarshH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
5/28/2024A FinneyA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
5/21/2024William McCabeH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
5/7/2024Steve SaundersH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
4/23/2024Lee BolanH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
4/16/2024Andrew WoodwardA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
4/9/2024Wayne RobinsonA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

6losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 1020% win rate↓ declining
LLLLLLWLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Lee Bolan202100%4/22/2025
Alex Wallace0110%8/19/2025
Neil Fitzsimon0110%6/3/2025
Brian McCarrick0110%5/27/2025
Peter Lindley0110%5/13/2025
Chris Nichol0110%5/6/2025
R Cash (Jnr)0110%4/29/2025
Mal Perks0110%9/10/2024
David Fryer101100%8/20/2024
Brian Tilley0110%8/6/2024
Biggest Win
David Fryer (+11)8/20/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Wayne Robinson (-15)4/9/2024
Best Season
202433% · 15 matches
Worst Season
202433% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
36% → 18%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
87822 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-20% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
6-1430% win rate
Division 227.3%
6W·16L·22 played

Debut

Apr 9, 2024

Latest

Aug 19, 2025

Seasons Active

2 (1.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

11.0 (22 total)

Seasons

20242025