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Crown Green Handicap

Pauline Welch

Team: Bromborough Social ClubDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

747

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

26

Matches Played

3

Wins

23

Losses

12%

Win Rate

11.7

Avg Win Margin

8.7

Avg Loss Margin

2-10

Home Record

1-13

Away Record

62%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
26 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/3/2026

A solid recent sample: 26 of 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 26 matches

+11 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

23 Jul5 Aug19 May23 Jun20 Jul22 Jul3 Aug-1371115

Gives 11 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(35%)
12%
score-0.77→contribution-0.27
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
11.7
score+0.61→contribution+0.14
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.7
score-0.12→contribution-0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
10%
score-0.80→contribution-0.08
Opponent Strength(15%)
815
score-1.00→contribution-0.15
Weighted Score-0.385
Sample Size Confidence
62%(26/33 matches)
Rating846 → shrunk 904→ adjusted 754
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)734
Recency Blend35% (26 recent matches)
Final Rating747
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

3W23L26 matches·11.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Bromborough Social Club2025–2026Division C2632311.5%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/3/2026Roger HamerA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
7/30/2026Julie RobertsA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/29/2026Tracy HughesA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
7/28/2026Mark HughesH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/22/2026Kerys FreemanA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/22/2026Kerys FreemanA21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision C
7/21/2026Josephine FitzpatrickH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
7/20/2026Nicola EcclesA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision C
7/16/2026Simon DowningH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/14/2026David CotterellH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
6/30/2026Paul BlackwellA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
6/23/2026Lynn BaileyH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
6/11/2026Mark ProctorA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
5/26/2026Roger HamerH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
5/21/2026Steven BedsonH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
5/19/2026Josephine FitzpatrickA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
5/13/2026Steve Ball ***A10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
5/12/2026John PerkinsA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
5/5/2026Dave Jnr MotleyH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
8/5/2025Beryl BellA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
7/30/2025Alan SmithH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
7/28/2025vs Pensby DA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
7/23/2025Nancy BrabanderH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
6/5/2025vs Sea DogH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
5/27/2025Hayley JonesA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
5/21/2025vs Little SuttonH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
George ONeill Trophy1 games · 0W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundRoy Jones / Ray WilliamsAlbany6-15LOSSLOST

Current Streak

5losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

8

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 1010% win rate— steady
LLLLLWLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Roger Hamer0220%8/3/2026
Kerys Freeman11250%7/22/2026
Josephine Fitzpatrick0220%7/21/2026
Julie Roberts0110%7/30/2026
Tracy Hughes0110%7/29/2026
Mark Hughes0110%7/28/2026
Nicola Eccles0110%7/20/2026
Simon Downing0110%7/16/2026
David Cotterell0110%7/14/2026
Paul Blackwell0110%6/30/2026
Biggest Win
Kerys Freeman (+21)7/22/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Nicola Eccles (-17)7/20/2026
Best Season
202611% · 19 matches
Worst Season
202611% · 19 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
15% → 8%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
78122 known · 4 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
3-1814% win rate
Division C11.5%
3W·23L·26 played

Debut

May 21, 2025

Latest

Aug 3, 2026

Seasons Active

2 (1.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

13.0 (26 total)

Seasons

20252026