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Crown Green Handicap

Paul Rolfe

Team: Oxton ConsDivision: Division ALast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

976

Current Handicap

6
Honours
Season:

25

Matches Played

13

Wins

12

Losses

52%

Win Rate

7.5

Avg Win Margin

11.9

Avg Loss Margin

7-6

Home Record

6-6

Away Record

57%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
25 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 5/18/2017

Only 25 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins13/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 25 matches

+6 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

10 May31 May9 Jun28 Jun14 Jul28 Jul9 Aug18 May-1258

Gives 6 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current6
Win Percentage(35%)
52%
score+0.04→contribution+0.01
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
7.5
score-0.09→contribution-0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
11.9
score-0.65→contribution-0.10
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Opponent Strength(15%)
992
score+0.03→contribution+0.00
Weighted Score-0.102
Sample Size Confidence
57%(25/33 matches)
Rating959 → shrunk 976
Handicap
6

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

13W12L25 matches·52% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Oxton Cons2016–2017Division A25131252%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
5/18/2017Wayne RobertsH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision A
5/16/2017Paul WilliamsA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision A
5/11/2017Ritchie KirbyH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision A
8/16/2016John SinkinsonH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision A
8/9/2016Robin MayA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision A
8/4/2016Phil HellyerH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision A
8/2/2016Colin SmithA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision A
7/28/2016Linda JonesH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision A
7/21/2016Paul LewisA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision A
7/19/2016Tony CollierH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision A
7/14/2016Ray BillyardH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision A
7/12/2016David HughesA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision A
7/7/2016Mike LewisH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
6/28/2016Fred BeacallH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision A
6/23/2016George ArgyleA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision A
6/16/2016John RogersH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision A
6/9/2016Kath DaviesA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision A
6/7/2016Christian TitherH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision A
6/2/2016Geoff DewhurstA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision A
5/31/2016Daniel JeffriesH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision A
5/19/2016Malcolm StirrupA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision A
5/17/2016Peter McbrideA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision A
5/12/2016Neil HumphreysH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision A
5/10/2016Dave LewisA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision A
4/26/2016Syd TaylorA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision A
George ONeill Trophy6 games · 2W
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundMark Jones / Kevin VenablesLedsham Royal11-15LOSSLOST
20165 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundJohn Crighton / Zoe StrattonArno Cl14-15LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundJohn Markland / Brian WilliamsSea Dog15-9WINWON
Quarters RoundColin Goulding / Andy EcclesLedsham Royal9-15LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundHilary Chalton / Peter TeagueBromborough Recs B15-6WINWON
Final RoundRichie Finch / Jamie SmithGladstone11-15LOSSLOST
Leverhulme Cup3 games · 3W
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundSteve GreenfieldGladstone21-16WINLOST
20162 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundTucker JacksonKendal21-6WINWON
Round of 16 RoundGeoff HawkswellOxton Cons B21-9WINWON

Current Streak

3losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLWL
Last 1050% win rate↓ declining
LLLWLWWLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Wayne Roberts0110%5/18/2017
Paul Williams0110%5/16/2017
Ritchie Kirby0110%5/11/2017
John Sinkinson101100%8/16/2016
Robin May0110%8/9/2016
Phil Hellyer101100%8/4/2016
Colin Smith101100%8/2/2016
Linda Jones0110%7/28/2016
Paul Lewis101100%7/21/2016
Tony Collier101100%7/19/2016
Biggest Win
Colin Smith (+13)8/2/2016
Heaviest Defeat
Linda Jones (-17)7/28/2016
Best Season
201659% · 22 matches
Worst Season
201659% · 22 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
58% → 46%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
99121 known · 4 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
5-550% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
7-464% win rate
Division A52%
13W·12L·25 played

Debut

Apr 26, 2016

Latest

May 18, 2017

Seasons Active

2 (1.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

12.5 (25 total)

Seasons

20162017