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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Paul Nelson
Rating
793
Current Handicap
10
Season:
137
Matches Played
43
Wins
94
Losses
31%
Win Rate
7.7
Avg Win Margin
9.5
Avg Loss Margin
33-37
Home Record
10-57
Away Record
Milestones
Career
No career milestones yet — keep bowling!
Next goal: 50 Wins43/50
Season Highlights
No season milestones recorded yet.
Handicap Trend
All Time · 137 matches
+10 Rising
Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(40%)
31%score-0.37→contribution-0.15
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.7score-0.05→contribution-0.01
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.5score-0.26→contribution-0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
45%score-0.10→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
873score-0.52→contribution-0.05
Weighted Score-0.262
Sample Size Confidence
100%(137/75 matches)
Rating869 → shrunk 869→ adjusted 719
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)793
Recency Blend40% (60 recent matches)
Final Blended Rating749
Handicap10
Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by a confidence factor (matches ÷ 75), so players with few games don't get extreme handicaps. Recency blend: the shrunk all-time rating is blended with a separate rating from the seasons selected in Handicap Calculation Years (currently 2024, 2025, 2026), weighted up to 40% based on recent match volume (30+ matches = full 40%). Players with no recent matches keep their all-time rating unchanged. Rating is mapped to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger).
League
43W94L137 matches·31.4% win rate
| Club | Seasons | Division(s) | P | W | L | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naval Club | 2018–2026 | League 2 | 137 | 43 | 94 | 31.4% |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result | Margin | Competition | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/21/2026 | Philip Mason | A | 18-21 | LOSS | -3 | League | League 2 |
| 8/17/2026 | George Mcaleny | H | 21-18 | WIN | +3 | League | League 2 |
| 8/14/2026 | Katie Wood | A | 21-16 | WIN | +5 | League | League 2 |
| 8/7/2026 | Christopher Wood | H | 21-9 | WIN | +12 | League | League 2 |
| 7/31/2026 | Ryan Barker | A | 12-21 | LOSS | -9 | League | League 2 |
| 7/24/2026 | Edna Cook | H | 21-13 | WIN | +8 | League | League 2 |
| 7/10/2026 | Daniel Langley | H | 21-11 | WIN | +10 | League | League 2 |
| 7/6/2026 | Tania Gilfoyle | A | 7-21 | LOSS | -14 | League | League 2 |
| 7/3/2026 | Steve Crighton | A | 10-21 | LOSS | -11 | League | League 2 |
| 6/26/2026 | Vic Williams | H | 11-21 | LOSS | -10 | League | League 2 |
| 6/22/2026 | Mal Evans | A | 10-21 | LOSS | -11 | League | League 2 |
| 5/29/2026 | David Picken | A | 15-21 | LOSS | -6 | League | League 2 |
| 5/22/2026 | Barry Smith | H | 12-21 | LOSS | -9 | League | League 2 |
| 5/15/2026 | Josephine Fitzpatrick | A | 21-12 | WIN | +9 | League | League 2 |
| 5/8/2026 | John Sherlock | A | 6-21 | LOSS | -15 | League | League 2 |
| 5/1/2026 | John Sinkinson | H | 19-21 | LOSS | -2 | League | League 2 |
| 4/24/2026 | Debbie Formston-wright | A | 12-21 | LOSS | -9 | League | League 2 |
| 4/20/2026 | Donald Clark | H | 21-8 | WIN | +13 | League | League 2 |
| 8/22/2025 | John Sheen | H | 21-18 | WIN | +3 | League | League 2 |
| 8/18/2025 | Bob Hodgson | A | 21-9 | WIN | +12 | League | League 2 |
| 8/15/2025 | Gary Hughes | H | 21-18 | WIN | +3 | League | League 2 |
| 8/11/2025 | George Roberts | A | 9-21 | LOSS | -12 | League | League 2 |
| 8/4/2025 | Ken Williams | H | 5-21 | LOSS | -16 | League | League 2 |
| 7/25/2025 | Michael Wishart | A | 12-21 | LOSS | -9 | League | League 2 |
| 7/21/2025 | Dave Holden | H | 21-16 | WIN | +5 | League | League 2 |
| 7/14/2025 | vs Albany | H | 21-15 | WIN | +6 | League | League 2 |
| 7/11/2025 | Ray Woods | A | 7-21 | LOSS | -14 | League | League 2 |
| 7/7/2025 | Graham Walker | H | 21-15 | WIN | +6 | League | League 2 |
| 7/4/2025 | John Cliffe | A | 13-21 | LOSS | -8 | League | League 2 |
| 6/27/2025 | Nicky Bailey | A | 21-12 | WIN | +9 | League | League 2 |
| 6/20/2025 | vs Upton Victory Hall B | H | 21-4 | WIN | +17 | League | League 2 |
| 6/13/2025 | Eric James | A | 10-21 | LOSS | -11 | League | League 2 |
| 6/9/2025 | Rodney Watkins | H | 14-21 | LOSS | -7 | League | League 2 |
| 6/6/2025 | Tom Roberts | A | 14-21 | LOSS | -7 | League | League 2 |
| 5/30/2025 | Craig Edwards | H | 7-21 | LOSS | -14 | League | League 2 |
| 5/9/2025 | Dave Croston | H | 15-21 | LOSS | -6 | League | League 2 |
| 5/2/2025 | Steve Cliffe | A | 17-21 | LOSS | -4 | League | League 2 |
| 4/25/2025 | David Pickin | H | 21-13 | WIN | +8 | League | League 2 |
| 8/23/2024 | Steven Jones | A | 21-14 | WIN | +7 | League | League 2 |
| 8/12/2024 | Ann Brown | H | 21-14 | WIN | +7 | League | League 2 |
| 8/5/2024 | Margie Vickers | A | 18-21 | LOSS | -3 | League | League 2 |
| 8/2/2024 | Barry Smith | H | 11-21 | LOSS | -10 | League | League 2 |
| 7/26/2024 | Phil Hale | A | 8-21 | LOSS | -13 | League | League 2 |
| 7/22/2024 | vs Albany | A | 13-21 | LOSS | -8 | League | League 2 |
| 7/19/2024 | Albert Stanley | H | 21-1 | WIN | +20 | League | League 2 |
| 7/12/2024 | Lynne Cooper | A | 11-21 | LOSS | -10 | League | League 2 |
| 7/5/2024 | George Goulding | H | 11-21 | LOSS | -10 | League | League 2 |
| 7/1/2024 | Edna Cook | H | 21-13 | WIN | +8 | League | League 2 |
| 6/28/2024 | Geoff Stamp | A | 10-21 | LOSS | -11 | League | League 2 |
| 6/17/2024 | vs Heswall RBL B | H | 21-15 | WIN | +6 | League | League 2 |
| 6/14/2024 | Ian Wilson | A | 21-12 | WIN | +9 | League | League 2 |
| 6/7/2024 | Keith Yates | H | 21-8 | WIN | +13 | League | League 2 |
| 6/3/2024 | Albert Ford | A | 16-21 | LOSS | -5 | League | League 2 |
| 5/31/2024 | Robert Leach | H | 10-21 | LOSS | -11 | League | League 2 |
| 5/24/2024 | Ron Astle | A | 21-13 | WIN | +8 | League | League 2 |
| 5/17/2024 | Jaxon Mcelnay | H | 21-17 | WIN | +4 | League | League 2 |
| 5/10/2024 | Brian Lussey | H | 21-15 | WIN | +6 | League | League 2 |
| 5/3/2024 | Paul Ollerhead | A | 11-21 | LOSS | -10 | League | League 2 |
| 4/26/2024 | Stephen Bibby | H | 13-21 | LOSS | -8 | League | League 2 |
| 4/22/2024 | Steve Langton | A | 7-21 | LOSS | -14 | League | League 2 |
| 8/18/2023 | Scott Fergusson | A | 4-21 | LOSS | -17 | League | League 2 |
| 8/11/2023 | Scott Fergusson | H | 8-21 | LOSS | -13 | League | League 2 |
| 8/7/2023 | Jack Beecham | A | 7-21 | LOSS | -14 | League | League 2 |
| 8/4/2023 | Chris Tippey | H | 21-11 | WIN | +10 | League | League 2 |
| 7/28/2023 | vs Albany | H | 21-18 | WIN | +3 | League | League 2 |
| 7/17/2023 | vs Albany | A | 3-21 | LOSS | -18 | League | League 2 |
| 7/14/2023 | Thomas Green | A | 21-1 | WIN | +20 | League | League 2 |
| 7/7/2023 | Jane Bradshaw | H | 15-21 | LOSS | -6 | League | League 2 |
| 7/3/2023 | vs Cammell Laird | A | 14-21 | LOSS | -7 | League | League 2 |
| 6/30/2023 | Peter Holian | H | 14-21 | LOSS | -7 | League | League 2 |
| 6/23/2023 | vs Kendal | A | 15-21 | LOSS | -6 | League | League 2 |
| 6/16/2023 | Rob Lewis | H | 21-15 | WIN | +6 | League | League 2 |
| 6/12/2023 | vs Gladstone B | H | 14-21 | LOSS | -7 | League | League 2 |
| 6/9/2023 | Paul Ollerhead | A | 10-21 | LOSS | -11 | League | League 2 |
| 5/26/2023 | Robert Leach | H | 17-21 | LOSS | -4 | League | League 2 |
| 5/22/2023 | Nicky Bailey | A | 21-19 | WIN | +2 | League | League 2 |
| 5/19/2023 | Ian Ford | H | 21-18 | WIN | +3 | League | League 2 |
| 5/12/2023 | Chris Morrison | H | 11-21 | LOSS | -10 | League | League 2 |
| 4/28/2023 | Peter Jones | H | 21-19 | WIN | +2 | League | League 2 |
| 8/19/2022 | Paul Ollerhead | A | 5-21 | LOSS | -16 | League | League 2 |
| 8/12/2022 | Rob Ollerhead | H | 21-8 | WIN | +13 | League | League 2 |
| 8/5/2022 | Ken Holt | A | 21-18 | WIN | +3 | League | League 2 |
| 8/1/2022 | vs Thingwall | H | 16-21 | LOSS | -5 | League | League 2 |
| 7/29/2022 | Nigel Smith | A | 9-21 | LOSS | -12 | League | League 2 |
| 7/22/2022 | Sue Wynne | H | 14-21 | LOSS | -7 | League | League 2 |
| 7/15/2022 | Roy Jones | A | 4-21 | LOSS | -17 | League | League 2 |
| 7/8/2022 | Ray Williams | H | 19-21 | LOSS | -2 | League | League 2 |
| 7/4/2022 | Natasha Stratton | H | 21-15 | WIN | +6 | League | League 2 |
| 7/1/2022 | Katie Wood | A | 9-21 | LOSS | -12 | League | League 2 |
| 6/24/2022 | Ann Brown | A | 16-21 | LOSS | -5 | League | League 2 |
| 6/10/2022 | Steve Hollywood | A | 6-21 | LOSS | -15 | League | League 2 |
| 5/27/2022 | Scott Fergusson | A | 9-21 | LOSS | -12 | League | League 2 |
| 5/20/2022 | Steven Gardner | A | 9-21 | LOSS | -12 | League | League 2 |
| 5/16/2022 | Nicola Eccles | H | 12-21 | LOSS | -9 | League | League 2 |
| 4/29/2022 | Kevin Howgate | H | 21-16 | WIN | +5 | League | League 2 |
| 4/22/2022 | Jane Griffiths | A | 12-21 | LOSS | -9 | League | League 2 |
| 8/20/2021 | Mark Wood | H | 16-21 | LOSS | -5 | League | League 2 |
| 8/13/2021 | Chris Kissack | H | 4-21 | LOSS | -17 | League | League 2 |
| 8/6/2021 | Alan Lewis | A | 11-21 | LOSS | -10 | League | League 2 |
| 7/19/2021 | Nicola Eccles | A | 12-21 | LOSS | -9 | League | League 2 |
| 7/16/2021 | Ann Marie Waters | A | 15-21 | LOSS | -6 | League | League 2 |
| 7/12/2021 | Natasha Stratton | H | 15-21 | LOSS | -6 | League | League 2 |
| 6/18/2021 | Ian Hulme | H | 11-21 | LOSS | -10 | League | League 2 |
| 6/14/2021 | Alan Dunbar | A | 10-21 | LOSS | -11 | League | League 2 |
| 6/4/2021 | Kevin Nugent | H | 7-21 | LOSS | -14 | League | League 2 |
| 5/28/2021 | Frank Potter | A | 9-21 | LOSS | -12 | League | League 2 |
| 5/24/2021 | Chris Kelly | H | 16-21 | LOSS | -5 | League | League 2 |
| 8/30/2019 | Gill Sheen | A | 5-21 | LOSS | -16 | League | League 2 |
| 8/23/2019 | Marg Browning | A | 14-21 | LOSS | -7 | League | League 2 |
| 8/19/2019 | Phil Hellyer | H | 20-21 | LOSS | -1 | League | League 2 |
| 8/9/2019 | Ken Palin | A | 7-21 | LOSS | -14 | League | League 2 |
| 7/15/2019 | Nicola Gilmore | A | 7-21 | LOSS | -14 | League | League 2 |
| 7/12/2019 | Dave Garlick | H | 15-21 | LOSS | -6 | League | League 2 |
| 7/8/2019 | Tony Lee | A | 16-21 | LOSS | -5 | League | League 2 |
| 7/5/2019 | John Lewis | H | 12-21 | LOSS | -9 | League | League 2 |
| 6/28/2019 | Ken Holt | A | 5-21 | LOSS | -16 | League | League 2 |
| 6/21/2019 | Mike Green | H | 21-10 | WIN | +11 | League | League 2 |
| 6/17/2019 | Kevin Howgate | A | 10-21 | LOSS | -11 | League | League 2 |
| 6/14/2019 | Chris Dunbar | H | 21-12 | WIN | +9 | League | League 2 |
| 6/10/2019 | Jane Bradshaw | H | 21-12 | WIN | +9 | League | League 2 |
| 5/31/2019 | Rodney Watkins | H | 18-21 | LOSS | -3 | League | League 2 |
| 5/24/2019 | Mal Evans | A | 15-21 | LOSS | -6 | League | League 2 |
| 5/17/2019 | Vincent Brown | H | 21-11 | WIN | +10 | League | League 2 |
| 5/10/2019 | Peter Holian | A | 1-21 | LOSS | -20 | League | League 2 |
| 5/3/2019 | Jackie Thompson | H | 21-20 | WIN | +1 | League | League 2 |
| 8/17/2018 | John Brandon | A | 19-21 | LOSS | -2 | League | League 2 |
| 8/13/2018 | Norman Whiteside | H | 15-21 | LOSS | -6 | League | League 2 |
| 7/27/2018 | Peter Martin | A | 17-21 | LOSS | -4 | League | League 2 |
| 7/20/2018 | Paul Diamond | H | 16-21 | LOSS | -5 | League | League 2 |
| 7/13/2018 | Derek Edwards | A | 11-21 | LOSS | -10 | League | League 2 |
| 7/2/2018 | Owen Evans | A | 4-21 | LOSS | -17 | League | League 2 |
| 6/22/2018 | vs Oxton Conservative Club B | H | 17-21 | LOSS | -4 | League | League 2 |
| 6/15/2018 | # Fred Doherty | H | 21-20 | WIN | +1 | League | League 2 |
| 6/8/2018 | Phil Hale | H | 8-21 | LOSS | -13 | League | League 2 |
| 6/1/2018 | # Ray Farrell | H | 16-21 | LOSS | -5 | League | League 2 |
| 5/18/2018 | Syd Taylor | H | 11-21 | LOSS | -10 | League | League 2 |
| 5/11/2018 | Jan Hulican | A | 7-21 | LOSS | -14 | League | League 2 |
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl8 games · 1W
20261 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round of 32 Round | Brian Lawrence | Heswall RBL | 21-19 | WIN | LOST |
20251 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round of 32 Round | James Fitzpatrick | West Kirby Victoria | 4-21 | LOSS | LOST |
20242 rounds
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round of 32 Round | *** Rodney Watkins | New Brighton Quarry Vikings C | 13-21 | LOSS | WON |
| Round of 16 Round | Eddie Dutton | New Brighton Quarry Vikings | 13-21 | LOSS | LOST |
20231 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round of 32 Round | Andy Porter | Albany | 6-21 | LOSS | LOST |
20221 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round of 16 Round | Alan Hughes | Kendal | 15-21 | LOSS | WON |
20192 rounds
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preliminary Round | Nigel Smith | Hoylake Central & Melrose | 6-21 | LOSS | LOST |
| Round of 32 Round | Owen Turner | New Brighton Quarry Vikings | 7-21 | LOSS | WON |
Cartwright Cup4 games · 1W
20261 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preliminary Round | Peter Hughes | Upton Victory Hall | 4-21 | LOSS | LOST |
20251 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preliminary Round | Kath Davies | Pensby | 10-21 | LOSS | LOST |
20231 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preliminary Round | Phil Richards | Lever Club | 9-21 | LOSS | LOST |
20181 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarters Round | # Ged Richardson | Manor Road | 21-20 | WIN | LOST |
Frank Hurst Trophy8 games · 3W
20262 rounds
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarters Round | Anthony Thompson | Manor Road | 21-9 | WIN | WON |
| Semi Final Round | John Roberts | Lever Club | 14-21 | LOSS | WON |
20242 rounds
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preliminary Round | Walk Over | Great Meols | 21-0 | WIN | WON |
| Quarters Round | Rob Franklin | Heswall RBL | 12-21 | LOSS | WON |
20232 rounds
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preliminary Round | Colin Saville | West Kirby Victoria | 10-21 | LOSS | WON |
| Quarters Round | Maureen Percival | Hoylake Central & Melrose B | 18-21 | LOSS | LOST |
20191 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round of 32 Round | Peter Ratray | Upton Victory Hall B | 14-21 | LOSS | LOST |
20181 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preliminary Round | Walk Over | West Kirby Park | 21-0 | WIN | WON |
Stott Cup7 games · 3W
20261 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarters Round | Stephen Thomas | Bebington Park | 21-9 | WIN | LOST |
20251 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preliminary Round | Jaxon Mcelnay | Albany | 21-16 | WIN | LOST |
20241 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preliminary Round | Joey Smith | Kendal | 13-21 | LOSS | LOST |
20221 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarters Round | Mike Brown | Grange | 9-21 | LOSS | LOST |
20192 rounds
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preliminary Round | Roy Jones | Lever Club | 16-21 | LOSS | WON |
| Quarters Round | Mark Proctor | Royden Hall | 21-20 | WIN | LOST |
20181 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preliminary Round | Mark Smith | Kendal | 16-21 | LOSS | LOST |
Doctor Dawson Victory Cup5 games · 0W
20261 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round of 16 Round | Robbie Dean | Tixall B | 16-21 | LOSS | LOST |
20251 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarters Round | Marc Daugherty | West Kirby Victoria | 11-21 | LOSS | LOST |
20241 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preliminary Round | David Chapman | Cammell Laird | 17-21 | LOSS | LOST |
20191 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preliminary Round | Paul Saville | New Brighton Quarry Vikings | 5-21 | LOSS | LOST |
20181 round
| Round | Opponent | Team | Score | Result | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preliminary Round | Gill Sheen | Pensby | 3-21 | LOSS | LOST |
Current Streak
1losses
In a slump
Longest Win Run
4
Career best winning streak
Longest Loss Run
21
Career worst losing streak
Last 560% win rate
LWWWL
Last 1050% win rate— steady
LWWWLWWLLL
| Opponent | W | L | Total | Win % | Last Met |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albany | 2 | 2 | 4 | 50% | 7/14/2025 |
| Paul Ollerhead | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0% | 5/3/2024 |
| Scott Fergusson | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0% | 8/18/2023 |
| Katie Wood | 1 | 1 | 2 | 50% | 8/14/2026 |
| Edna Cook | 2 | 0 | 2 | 100% | 7/24/2026 |
| Mal Evans | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 6/22/2026 |
| Barry Smith | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 5/22/2026 |
| Nicky Bailey | 2 | 0 | 2 | 100% | 6/27/2025 |
| Rodney Watkins | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 6/9/2025 |
| Ann Brown | 1 | 1 | 2 | 50% | 8/12/2024 |
Biggest Win
Albert Stanley (+20)7/19/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Peter Holian (-20)5/10/2019
Nemesis
Paul Ollerhead0-3 H2H
Best Season
202445% · 22 matches
Worst Season
20210% · 11 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
21% → 42%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
856121 known · 16 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
3-1319% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
34-7132% win rate
League 231.4%
43W·94L·137 played
Debut
May 11, 2018
Latest
Aug 21, 2026
Seasons Active
8 (8.3 yr span)
Matches / Season
17.1 (137 total)
Seasons
20182019202120222023202420252026