Crown Green HandicapFairPlay Bowls
Live
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Back to Players
Crown Green Handicap

Paul Kelly

Team: Unison ADivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

961

Current Handicap

8
Honours
Season:

80

Matches Played

61

Wins

19

Losses

76%

Win Rate

8.0

Avg Win Margin

8.8

Avg Loss Margin

36-8

Home Record

25-11

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
49 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/1/2026

A large recent sample: 49 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 41-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

50 Wins

61 wins

75% Club

76%

Hot Streak 15

16 in a row

Next goal: Centurion61/100
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2026
90% Season90%
10-Game Streak16 in a row
Home Dominance11/11 home
2025
Perfect Season11-0
10-Game Streak11 in a row

Handicap Trend

All Time · 80 matches

+8 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

21 Jun25 Apr18 Jul11 Jun8 Apr15 Jul16 Jun1 Sept-1371115

Gives 8 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current8
Win Percentage(40%)
86%
score+0.71→contribution+0.29
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.7
score+0.11→contribution+0.03
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
11.1
score-0.52→contribution-0.08
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
90%
score+0.80→contribution+0.08
Opponent Strength(10%)
855
score+0.57→contribution+0.06
Weighted Score+0.372
Sample Size Confidence
100%(49/41 matches)
Rating1112 → shrunk 1112→ adjusted 962
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)962
Recency Blend40% (49 recent matches)
Final Rating962
Handicap
8

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

61W19L80 matches·76.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Unison A2022–2026Division 2, Division 180611976.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026Norman AthertonA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
8/25/2026Mike HitchcoxH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
8/18/2026R Cash (Jnr)A15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
8/11/2026Paul LiptrotH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
8/4/2026Ian ManchesterA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
7/28/2026Robert PageH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
7/21/2026Alan CrossA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
7/14/2026Alan CarrA21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 2
7/13/2026Kevin CorriganA21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 2
7/7/2026Graham ParrH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
6/23/2026Brian LeaH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
6/16/2026Simon ChurchillA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
6/9/2026R Cash (Jnr)H21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
6/2/2026Neil CunliffeA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
5/26/2026Ian McBrideH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
5/19/2026Paul SpoonerA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
5/12/2026Alan CrossH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
5/5/2026A GradyH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
4/21/2026Phil MillingtonH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
4/14/2026Brian LeaA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2
4/7/2026John DanielsH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
7/15/2025Ed WebsterH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
7/8/2025Jim StottA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
7/1/2025Ron PickavanceH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
6/3/2025Brian TilleyA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
5/20/2025Derek RogersA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
5/13/2025John WhiteH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
5/6/2025Ed WebsterA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
4/29/2025Fred HullH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
4/22/2025Paul SpoonerA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
4/15/2025Eddie BrooksH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
4/8/2025P MooreH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
9/3/2024Jamie WilliamsA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
8/13/2024David BrandA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
8/6/2024Ken HillH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 2
7/30/2024R Cash (Jnr)A21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
7/23/2024Peter JaundrillH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
7/9/2024Jason FinneyH3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 2
6/25/2024Peter O'ConnorH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 2
6/19/2024Jimmy NolanA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
6/18/2024Antony JohnsonA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
6/11/2024Ian ManchesterA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
6/4/2024Graham BrandH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
5/21/2024R Cash (Jnr)H21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
5/7/2024Andy KubiakH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
4/30/2024David Blackburn-WoodsA0-21LOSS-21LeagueDivision 2
4/23/2024Eddie McLorieH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 2
4/16/2024Kieron FeeneyA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
4/9/2024Jamie WilliamsH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
8/15/2023Paul GartsideH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
7/25/2023Michael HeapsA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
7/18/2023Eddie HarrisonH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
7/11/2023Rod KayA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
7/4/2023John DuncanA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 1
6/27/2023Tex AllenH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
6/13/2023Kevin KearnsH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
6/7/2023John StirzakerA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
5/23/2023Anthony GartsideA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 1
5/16/2023Danny MillerH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
5/9/2023John MorganA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
5/2/2023Sid LloydH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
4/25/2023P CleggH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
4/18/2023Chris AshtonA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
4/11/2023Roland GaskellH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
9/6/2022Danny EustaceA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
8/30/2022Eddie BrooksH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
8/9/2022Graham BakerH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
7/26/2022John SearsonH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
7/12/2022Craig LoweH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
7/5/2022Brian FeltonA21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 1
6/28/2022Mark HoldenH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
6/21/2022Mal PerksA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
6/14/2022Phil LeeH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
6/7/2022P CleggH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
5/24/2022John DalzielH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
5/18/2022Freddie LaffA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
5/3/2022John WilsonA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
4/26/2022Sid LloydH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
4/19/2022Paul MellingA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
4/12/2022Michael NortonH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

2wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

16

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWLWW
Last 1090% win rate— steady
WWLWWWWWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
R Cash (Jnr)31475%8/18/2026
Ian Manchester202100%8/4/2026
Alan Cross202100%7/21/2026
Brian Lea11250%6/23/2026
Paul Spooner202100%5/19/2026
Ed Webster202100%7/15/2025
Eddie Brooks202100%4/15/2025
Jamie Williams11250%9/3/2024
Sid Lloyd11250%5/2/2023
P Clegg11250%4/25/2023
Biggest Win
Kevin Corrigan (+18)7/13/2026
Heaviest Defeat
David Blackburn-Woods (-21)4/30/2024
Favourite Victim
R Cash (Jnr)3-1 H2H
Best Season
2025100% · 11 matches
Worst Season
202360% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
63% → 90%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
91180 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
8-1142% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
53-887% win rate

By Division

Division 242-7 (86%)
Division 119-12 (61%)
Division 161.3%
19W·12L·31 played
Division 285.7%
42W·7L·49 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

16.0 (80 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026