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Paul Carty

Team: Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

799

Current Handicap

Honours

Season:

Matches Played

Wins

Losses

43%

Win Rate

6.2

Avg Win Margin

9.1

Avg Loss Margin

4-2

Home Record

2-6

Away Record

18%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence

14 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/21/2021

Only 14 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player5/10

✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 14 matches

+10 Rising

Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

Gives 10 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0

Lowest0

Current10

Win Percentage(35%)

43%

score-0.14→contribution-0.05

Avg Winning Margin(23%)

6.2

score-0.31→contribution-0.07

Avg Losing Margin(15%)

9.1

score-0.19→contribution-0.03

Recent Form (last 20)(10%)

43%

score-0.14→contribution-0.01

Opponent Strength(15%)

910

score-0.24→contribution-0.04

Weighted Score-0.203

Sample Size Confidence

18%(14/33 matches)

Rating919 → shrunk 985→ adjusted 799

Handicap

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

6W8L14 matches·42.9% win rate

Club	Seasons	Division(s)	P	W	L	Win %
Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks B	2016–2021	Division C	13	6	7	46.2%
Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks	2018	Division A	1	0	1	0%

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result	Margin	Competition	Division
7/21/2021	vs Pensby C	A	21-19	WIN	+2	League	Division C
8/13/2019	Linda Biggs	A	16-21	LOSS	-5	League	Division C
8/8/2019	Keith Bailey	H	21-7	WIN	+14	League	Division C
8/6/2019	Keith Loughrin	A	14-21	LOSS	-7	League	Division C
7/30/2019	Ron Green	A	21-9	WIN	+12	League	Division C
7/4/2019	Bill Smith	A	12-21	LOSS	-9	League	Division C
6/7/2018	Fred Beacall	A	11-21	LOSS	-10	League	Division A
8/1/2017	George Jellicoe	A	10-21	LOSS	-11	League	Division C
7/27/2017	John Gelling	H	21-20	WIN	+1	League	Division C
6/8/2017	George Jellicoe	H	18-21	LOSS	-3	League	Division C
6/1/2017	Larry Baker	A	6-21	LOSS	-15	League	Division C
5/25/2017	Kenneth Williams	H	21-18	WIN	+3	League	Division C
8/2/2016	Philip Mason	H	21-16	WIN	+5	League	Division C
4/26/2016	John Mountford	H	8-21	LOSS	-13	League	Division C

Leverhulme Cup2 games · 0W

20221 round

Round	Opponent	Team	Score	Result	Team
Round of 16 Round	Mark Myles	Tixall	4-21	LOSS	LOST

20161 round

Round	Opponent	Team	Score	Result	Team
Round of 32 Round	Steven Gardner	Lever Club	12-21	LOSS	LOST

Geoff Clare Trophy2 games · 0W

20171 round

Round	Opponent	Team	Score	Result	Team
Quarters Round	Alan Mathews	Oxton Cons C	12-21	LOSS	LOST

20161 round

Round	Opponent	Team	Score	Result	Team
Round of 16 Round	Tania Gilfoyle	Heswall Rbl B	15-21	LOSS	LOST

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate

WLWLW

Last 1040% win rate↑ improving

WLWLWLLLWL

Opponent	W	L	Total	Win %	Last Met
George Jellicoe	0	2	2	0%	8/1/2017
Pensby C	1	0	1	100%	7/21/2021
Linda Biggs	0	1	1	0%	8/13/2019
Keith Bailey	1	0	1	100%	8/8/2019
Keith Loughrin	0	1	1	0%	8/6/2019
Ron Green	1	0	1	100%	7/30/2019
Bill Smith	0	1	1	0%	7/4/2019
Fred Beacall	0	1	1	0%	6/7/2018
John Gelling	1	0	1	100%	7/27/2017
Larry Baker	0	1	1	0%	6/1/2017

Biggest Win

Keith Bailey (+14)8/8/2019

Heaviest Defeat

Larry Baker (-15)6/1/2017

Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)

43% → 43%improving

Avg Opponent Rating Faced

8599 known · 5 unknown

vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)

1-150% win rate

vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)

3-443% win rate

By Division

Division C6-7 (46%)

Division A0-1 (0%)

Division A0%

0W·1L·1 played

Division C46.2%

6W·7L·13 played

Debut

Apr 26, 2016

Latest

Jul 21, 2021

Seasons Active

5 (5.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

2.8 (14 total)

Seasons

20162017201820192021