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Crown Green Handicap

Paul Carty

Team: Port Sunlight Village & Works BDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

661

Current Handicap

13
Honours
Season:

30

Matches Played

8

Wins

22

Losses

27%

Win Rate

9.9

Avg Win Margin

9.8

Avg Loss Margin

4-12

Home Record

4-10

Away Record

59%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
30 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/26/2022

Only 30 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player5/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 30 matches

+13 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

29 Apr9 Jun11 Jun17 May24 Jul15 Aug13 May26 Aug-14916

Gives 13 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current13
Win Percentage(40%)
27%
score-0.47→contribution-0.19
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.9
score+0.31→contribution+0.08
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.8
score-0.30→contribution-0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
30%
score-0.40→contribution-0.04
Opponent Strength(10%)
798
score-0.72→contribution-0.07
Weighted Score-0.266
Sample Size Confidence
59%(30/39 matches)
Rating867 → shrunk 921→ adjusted 661
Handicap
13

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

8W22L30 matches·26.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Port Sunlight Village & Works B2017–2022League 32261627.3%
Port Sunlight Village & Works2019–2022League 251420%
Port Sunlight Village/Works2016League 1, League 22020%
Port Sunlight Village/Works B2016League 3110100%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/26/2022vs Oxton ArgyleH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2022Dave HollywoodH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 2
7/15/2022John Gomersall JnrH4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 2
7/8/2022Jim MorrisH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
6/24/2022Charlie WardA1-21LOSS-20LeagueLeague 3
5/13/2022Dave HulmstonH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
4/29/2022Howard FernH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2022Steve DabbsA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
8/19/2019Colin TurnerA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
8/15/2019vs Oxton Conservative Club BA21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 2
8/12/2019Diane PiercyH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2019Nigel SmithH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
8/2/2019Roderick PrinceH21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 3
7/24/2019vs New Brighton Quarry Vikings CH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
7/15/2019Grace MulvaneyA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
7/12/2019Bill BurgessH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2019Paul RummensA2-21LOSS-19LeagueLeague 3
5/17/2019Philip MasonA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
8/17/2018Vinnie RoxburghH4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 3
8/10/2018Bill DowneyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
6/15/2018Jonathan Nowell-fennaH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
6/11/2018John PoultneyA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
6/8/2018Ann BrownH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
6/1/2018Peter FishwickH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
7/17/2017Philip CurrieA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
6/9/2017Jim MasonH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
4/28/2017Ian MckillopA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
8/1/2016Ian MckillopA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
5/6/2016Sandra AstlesA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 1
4/29/2016Joey SmithA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 2
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl2 games · 1W
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 Round* Jim TunleyAlbany7-21LOSSLOST
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundRob SmedleyUpton Victory Hall B21-20WINLOST

Current Streak

3losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

7

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLWL
Last 1020% win rate— steady
LLLWLLLLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ian Mckillop11250%4/28/2017
Oxton Argyle0110%8/26/2022
Dave Hollywood0110%8/5/2022
John Gomersall Jnr0110%7/15/2022
Jim Morris101100%7/8/2022
Charlie Ward0110%6/24/2022
Dave Hulmston0110%5/13/2022
Howard Fern0110%4/29/2022
Steve Dabbs0110%4/22/2022
Colin Turner0110%8/19/2019
Biggest Win
Roderick Prince (+18)8/2/2019
Heaviest Defeat
Charlie Ward (-20)6/24/2022
Best Season
201950% · 10 matches
Worst Season
201950% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
27% → 27%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
76726 known · 4 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-30% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
7-1630% win rate

By Division

League 37-16 (30%)
League 21-5 (17%)
League 10-1 (0%)
League 10%
0W·1L·1 played
League 216.7%
1W·5L·6 played
League 330.4%
7W·16L·23 played

Debut

Apr 29, 2016

Latest

Aug 26, 2022

Seasons Active

5 (6.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

6.0 (30 total)

Seasons

20162017201820192022