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Crown Green Handicap

Paul Bolton

Team: Parish ChurchDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

714

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

76

Matches Played

36

Wins

40

Losses

47%

Win Rate

8.8

Avg Win Margin

8.0

Avg Loss Margin

23-16

Home Record

13-24

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
51 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/2/2026

A large recent sample: 51 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 41-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins36/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 76 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

16 Aug25 Jul21 May20 Aug8 Jul7 Apr16 Jun2 Sept-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
49%
score-0.02→contribution-0.01
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.4
score+0.24→contribution+0.06
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.0
score+0.17→contribution+0.03
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
55%
score+0.10→contribution+0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
673
score-0.42→contribution-0.04
Weighted Score+0.046
Sample Size Confidence
100%(51/41 matches)
Rating1014 → shrunk 1014→ adjusted 714
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)714
Recency Blend40% (51 recent matches)
Final Rating714
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

36W40L76 matches·47.4% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Ruskin Sports2022–2024Division 341172441.5%
Parish Church2025–2026Division 335191654.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/2/2026AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 3
9/1/2026Martin JonesA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
8/25/2026W PenningtonH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
8/19/2026Les HattonA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
8/11/2026C DoyleA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
7/21/2026Ian AppletonH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
7/15/2026Ken LethbridgeA1-21LOSS-20LeagueDivision 3
7/7/2026Neil SherwoodH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
7/1/2026Mike CramptonA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
6/23/2026Barry FosterH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
6/16/2026Peter GriffithsA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
6/9/2026David MustardH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
6/2/2026Graham HynesH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
5/26/2026Alan WrightA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
5/19/2026Joseph KnocktonH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
5/13/2026Jack HardenA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
5/5/2026Mal PerksH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
4/21/2026Graham AshcroftH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
4/14/2026Andrew CharnockA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
4/7/2026Phil NewH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
9/3/2025D PeelA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
8/26/2025Phillip AlmondH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
8/19/2025Geoff ParrA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
8/12/2025G McClurgA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
8/5/2025G WebsterH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
7/22/2025John PyeH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
7/15/2025Derek GrimesA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
7/8/2025Derek MercerH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
7/1/2025Ged HopeA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
6/24/2025Noel SwiftH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
6/10/2025Richard MartlandH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
5/14/2025AbsentA21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 3
4/29/2025Tom FrithA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
4/15/2025Andrew CharnockA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
4/8/2025Norman SarbuttsH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
8/28/2024David SandlandA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
8/20/2024Jack HardenH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
8/6/2024Julian CliffeH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
7/30/2024Phil MillingtonH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 3
7/23/2024Paul RobertsA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
7/16/2024Jonathan FenneyH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
7/9/2024Phil NewA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
7/2/2024Keith WalshH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
6/25/2024Steve SmithA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
6/4/2024Rick AshcroftH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
5/28/2024Roy BryanA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
5/21/2024Brian ForsythA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
5/14/2024D BoardmanH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
5/7/2024Ged HopeA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
4/23/2024John BurrowsA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
4/16/2024Steve BrownH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 3
9/5/2023Mike SmithH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
8/30/2023George BishopA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
8/22/2023Martin JonesH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
8/15/2023Bernard RimmerA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
8/8/2023Frank WilliamsH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
7/25/2023Geoff HoughtonA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
7/18/2023Keith WalshH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
7/4/2023Rick AshcroftH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
6/13/2023Graham OwenA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
6/6/2023Fred HullH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
5/30/2023Geoff GaskellA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 3
5/23/2023Ged HopeA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
5/16/2023Steve GloverH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
8/30/2022Peter WebsterA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
8/23/2022Phillip AlmondH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
8/16/2022John CorlessA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 3
8/9/2022Greg WinstanleyH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
7/26/2022Geoff GaskellA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 3
7/5/2022George MontgomeryH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
6/7/2022Ian AppletonH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
5/31/2022Malcolm HeyesA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
5/24/2022Geoff HoughtonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
5/17/2022John WilliamsH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
4/19/2022Paul SpoonerH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
4/12/2022Jonathan FenneyA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

3wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WWWLL
Last 1040% win rate↑ improving
WWWLLWLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ged Hope0330%7/1/2025
Absent202100%9/2/2026
Martin Jones202100%9/1/2026
Ian Appleton202100%7/21/2026
Jack Harden11250%5/13/2026
Andrew Charnock11250%4/14/2026
Phil New11250%4/7/2026
Phillip Almond202100%8/26/2025
Jonathan Fenney11250%7/16/2024
Keith Walsh11250%7/2/2024
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)9/2/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Ken Lethbridge (-20)7/15/2026
Nemesis
Ged Hope0-3 H2H
Best Season
202655% · 20 matches
Worst Season
202438% · 16 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
45% → 50%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
69076 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
36-4047% win rate
Division 347.4%
36W·40L·76 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 2, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

15.2 (76 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026