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Crown Green Handicap

Nick Bate

Team: VulcanDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

858

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

29

Matches Played

23

Wins

6

Losses

79%

Win Rate

9.6

Avg Win Margin

9.3

Avg Loss Margin

10-2

Home Record

13-4

Away Record

12%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
14 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/5/2024

Only 14 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 157/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 29 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

18 Apr13 Jun8 Aug6 Sept23 Apr9 Jul20 Aug5 Sept-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
71%
score+0.43→contribution+0.17
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.3
score+0.05→contribution+0.01
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.0
score-0.33→contribution-0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
71%
score+0.43→contribution+0.04
Opponent Strength(10%)
830
score+0.25→contribution+0.03
Weighted Score+0.202
Sample Size Confidence
12%(14/41 matches)
Rating1061 → shrunk 1007→ adjusted 857
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)863
Recency Blend19% (14 recent matches)
Final Rating858
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

23W6L29 matches·79.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Vulcan2023–2024Division 2, Division 32923679.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/5/2024Andy KubiakH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
9/4/2024Chris O'RourkeH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
9/3/2024Callum RothwellH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
8/27/2024Jimmy WeaverA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
8/20/2024Eddie BrooksH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
8/13/2024Chris O'RourkeA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
7/30/2024Alan CarrA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
7/16/2024Ged FinneyA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
7/9/2024Shaun GoldthorpeA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
6/25/2024Ian ThomsonA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
6/18/2024Stephen TinsleyH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
5/28/2024David McCabeA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
4/23/2024Keith MitchinsonA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
4/9/2024AbsentA21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 2
9/19/2023AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 3
9/13/2023Jamie WilliamsH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
9/6/2023Anthony BurrowsH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
9/5/2023David HarrisonH21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision 3
8/29/2023George MontgomeryA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
8/15/2023Jim FaircloughA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
8/8/2023K WebsterH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
8/1/2023John McKnightA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
7/25/2023Harry SmithH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
7/11/2023John StampA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
6/13/2023John PickavanceA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
5/31/2023K WebsterA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
5/16/2023Mike OxleyA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
4/25/2023P MurphyH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
4/18/2023Phil WatkinsA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

6wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

7

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 5100% win rate
WWWWW
Last 1070% win rate↑ improving
WWWWWWLLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Chris O'Rourke202100%9/4/2024
Absent202100%4/9/2024
K Webster202100%8/8/2023
Andy Kubiak101100%9/5/2024
Callum Rothwell101100%9/3/2024
Jimmy Weaver101100%8/27/2024
Eddie Brooks101100%8/20/2024
Alan Carr0110%7/30/2024
Ged Finney0110%7/16/2024
Shaun Goldthorpe101100%7/9/2024
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)4/9/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Alan Carr (-17)7/30/2024
Best Season
202387% · 15 matches
Worst Season
202471% · 14 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
86% → 73%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
77629 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
23-582% win rate

By Division

Division 313-2 (87%)
Division 210-4 (71%)
Division 271.4%
10W·4L·14 played
Division 386.7%
13W·2L·15 played

Debut

Apr 18, 2023

Latest

Sep 5, 2024

Seasons Active

2 (1.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

14.5 (29 total)

Seasons

20232024