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Crown Green Handicap

Nancy Brabander

Team: Victoria Park BDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

1031

Current Handicap

5
Honours
Season:

45

Matches Played

30

Wins

15

Losses

67%

Win Rate

9.1

Avg Win Margin

7.0

Avg Loss Margin

16-6

Home Record

14-9

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
20 / 17 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/18/2026

A large recent sample: 20 matches in the 2026 window, comfortably past the 17-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins30/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 45 matches

+5 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

24 Jun19 Aug23 Jul14 Aug7 May16 Jun28 Jul18 Aug-12510

Gives 5 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current5
Win Percentage(40%)
75%
score+0.50→contribution+0.20
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.9
score+0.14→contribution+0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
5.8
score+0.37→contribution+0.06
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
75%
score+0.50→contribution+0.05
Opponent Strength(10%)
808
score+0.30→contribution+0.03
Weighted Score+0.371
Sample Size Confidence
100%(20/17 matches)
Rating1186 → shrunk 1186→ adjusted 1066
Recent 1-Season Rating (2026)933
Recency Blend27% (20 recent matches)
Final Rating1031
Handicap
5

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 17, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

30W15L45 matches·66.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Victoria Park B2024–2026Division 236251169.4%
Victoria Park A2025–2026Division 195455.6%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/18/2026Lynn HeaneyH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
8/17/2026Jillian ActonH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
8/11/2026Chris McAlisterA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
8/10/2026Sioux McGookin (SA)A18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
8/6/2026Alison Potter (FB)H21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
8/4/2026Ann Blake (SA)A21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
7/28/2026Sue HedderickA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
7/27/2026Jane ClarkA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
7/23/2026Catherine MilvertonH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
7/20/2026Julie DoranA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
7/7/2026Kerys Freeman (SB)H21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
6/30/2026Ann ScottA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
6/16/2026Teresa RaffertyA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
6/4/2026Pat KearonH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
6/3/2026Debbie LinfordA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
5/21/2026Doreen O Mahoney (FA)A6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2
5/19/2026Eileen HumeH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
5/12/2026Mary KirbyH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
5/7/2026Pat EdgeA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
4/21/2026Linda SherrattA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
8/29/2025Jean Roberts (FA)A8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
8/21/2025Barbara GrantA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
8/19/2025Sandie OwenA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
8/18/2025Susan LovellH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
8/14/2025Pat AdlenA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
8/12/2025Marilyn AllenH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
8/5/2025Gillian RogersH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
7/31/2025Penny MacDonald (SB)H21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
7/29/2025Bev ArnoldH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
7/28/2025Jean HayesH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
7/23/2025Celia DennisA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
7/14/2025Joyce HalesH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
7/7/2025Julie DoranH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
4/23/2025Rosemary MarriottA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
4/22/2025Lesley Urbanowski (SB)A21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
8/29/2024Gill OwensA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
8/19/2024Rita SimpsonH21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision 2
7/25/2024Julie ParryH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
7/23/2024Elaine HoweH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
7/15/2024Jane ClarkA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
7/4/2024Anita MeldrumH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/25/2024June BrowneA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
6/24/2024Kerys Freeman (FB)H21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
6/11/2024Linda DentonA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
6/4/2024Annie Murray (SB)H16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

3wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWWLW
Last 1080% win rate— steady
WWWLWWWWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Jane Clark202100%7/27/2026
Julie Doran11250%7/20/2026
Lynn Heaney101100%8/18/2026
Jillian Acton101100%8/17/2026
Chris McAlister101100%8/11/2026
Sioux McGookin (SA)0110%8/10/2026
Alison Potter (FB)101100%8/6/2026
Ann Blake (SA)101100%8/4/2026
Sue Hedderick101100%7/28/2026
Catherine Milverton101100%7/23/2026
Biggest Win
Rita Simpson (+19)8/19/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Doreen O Mahoney (FA) (-15)5/21/2026
Best Season
202675% · 20 matches
Worst Season
202450% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
64% → 70%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
79342 known · 3 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
3-350% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
26-1072% win rate

By Division

Division 225-11 (69%)
Division 15-4 (56%)
Division 155.6%
5W·4L·9 played
Division 269.4%
25W·11L·36 played

Debut

Jun 4, 2024

Latest

Aug 18, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

15.0 (45 total)

Seasons

202420252026