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Crown Green Handicap

Michael Stott

Team: Lane Ends CDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

653

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

13

Matches Played

5

Wins

8

Losses

38%

Win Rate

7.0

Avg Win Margin

7.3

Avg Loss Margin

4-4

Home Record

1-4

Away Record

10%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
13 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/2/2026

Only 13 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 13 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

26 Aug17 Jun7 Jul21 Jul5 Aug19 Aug2 Sept-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
38%
score-0.23→contribution-0.09
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.0
score-0.17→contribution-0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.3
score+0.13→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
38%
score-0.23→contribution-0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
696
score-0.63→contribution-0.06
Weighted Score-0.201
Sample Size Confidence
10%(13/41 matches)
Rating940 → shrunk 994→ adjusted 656
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)639
Recency Blend17% (13 recent matches)
Final Rating653
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

5W8L13 matches·38.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Lane Ends C2026Division 3125741.7%
Lane Ends B2025Division 21010%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/2/2026Andy PattieH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
8/26/2026Ian AppletonA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
8/19/2026Alan TaylorH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
8/11/2026Alan BurrowsA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
8/5/2026B PillingH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
7/29/2026Tim WaineH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
7/21/2026Ian CarterA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
7/14/2026Ian MulcaheyH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
7/7/2026Derek MercerA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
7/1/2026Simon DoddH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
6/17/2026Tom EustaceH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
6/10/2026Andy LittlerA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
8/26/2025Peter BannonH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
LLWWW
Last 1050% win rate— steady
LLWWWLLWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Andy Pattie0110%9/2/2026
Ian Appleton0110%8/26/2026
Alan Taylor101100%8/19/2026
Alan Burrows101100%8/11/2026
B Pilling101100%8/5/2026
Tim Waine0110%7/29/2026
Ian Carter0110%7/21/2026
Ian Mulcahey101100%7/14/2026
Derek Mercer0110%7/7/2026
Simon Dodd101100%7/1/2026
Biggest Win
Simon Dodd (+14)7/1/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Peter Bannon (-12)8/26/2025
Best Season
202642% · 12 matches
Worst Season
202642% · 12 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
33% → 43%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
69613 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
5-838% win rate

By Division

Division 35-7 (42%)
Division 20-1 (0%)
Division 20%
0W·1L·1 played
Division 341.7%
5W·7L·12 played

Debut

Aug 26, 2025

Latest

Sep 2, 2026

Seasons Active

2 (1.0 yr span)

Matches / Season

6.5 (13 total)

Seasons

20252026