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Crown Green Handicap

Michael Pollock

Team: Lane Ends ADivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

964

Current Handicap

8
Honours
Season:

42

Matches Played

28

Wins

14

Losses

67%

Win Rate

8.2

Avg Win Margin

8.9

Avg Loss Margin

18-3

Home Record

10-11

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
42 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/5/2023

A large recent sample: 42 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 41-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins28/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2022
Home Dominance11/11 home

Handicap Trend

All Time · 42 matches

+8 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

3 May14 Jun19 Jul23 Aug9 May13 Jun25 Jul5 Sept-14916

Gives 8 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current8
Win Percentage(40%)
67%
score+0.33→contribution+0.13
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.2
score+0.04→contribution+0.01
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.9
score-0.15→contribution-0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Opponent Strength(10%)
916
score+0.25→contribution+0.02
Weighted Score+0.144
Sample Size Confidence
100%(42/41 matches)
Rating1043 → shrunk 1043→ adjusted 964
Handicap
8

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

28W14L42 matches·66.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Lane Ends A2022–2023Division 1, Division 242281466.7%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/5/2023Dave WebsterH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 1
8/29/2023Jason FinneyA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
8/22/2023Neil LynchH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
8/15/2023John DalzielA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 1
8/8/2023Andrew WoodwardH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
8/1/2023John DanielsA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
7/25/2023Mike CoxH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
7/18/2023Ian ManchesterH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
7/12/2023Sean GartsideA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
7/4/2023Mike HavernH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
6/27/2023John WilsonA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 1
6/13/2023Keith SmithA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
6/6/2023John DalzielH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
5/30/2023P CleggA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
5/23/2023Robert AngusH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
5/16/2023Frank GraysonA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
5/9/2023Rod KayA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
5/2/2023Keith WilliamsH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
4/18/2023Dean MidgleyH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
4/11/2023Charlie FryerA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
9/6/2022Joseph KnocktonH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
8/30/2022Craig BrandA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
8/23/2022Alan WrightA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
8/16/2022Tommy EvansH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
8/9/2022Ron ModiakA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
8/2/2022Peter ScottH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
7/26/2022Steve SmithA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
7/19/2022John DanielsH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
7/12/2022D TabernerA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 2
7/5/2022John JellyH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
6/28/2022Richard MartlandA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
6/21/2022Jimmy WeaverH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
6/14/2022John CooperH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
6/7/2022Noel SwiftA21-1WIN+20LeagueDivision 2
5/31/2022Ron ModiakH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 2
5/24/2022C PritchardA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
5/17/2022Ward HattonH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
5/10/2022Joe MonksA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
5/3/2022Ian HewittH21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision 2
4/26/2022John JellyA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
4/19/2022Kevin ParrsH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
4/12/2022David SwainA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

8

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WLWLW
Last 1060% win rate— steady
WLWLWWLWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
John Dalziel11250%8/15/2023
John Daniels202100%8/1/2023
Ron Modiak202100%8/9/2022
John Jelly11250%7/5/2022
Dave Webster101100%9/5/2023
Jason Finney0110%8/29/2023
Neil Lynch101100%8/22/2023
Andrew Woodward101100%8/8/2023
Mike Cox0110%7/25/2023
Ian Manchester101100%7/18/2023
Biggest Win
Noel Swift (+20)6/7/2022
Heaviest Defeat
D Taberner (-18)7/12/2022
Best Season
202282% · 22 matches
Worst Season
202350% · 20 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
81% → 52%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
91642 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
2-918% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
26-584% win rate

By Division

Division 218-4 (82%)
Division 110-10 (50%)
Division 150%
10W·10L·20 played
Division 281.8%
18W·4L·22 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 5, 2023

Seasons Active

2 (1.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

21.0 (42 total)

Seasons

20222023