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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

Marie Lister

Team: Oxton Cons BDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

614

Current Handicap

NQ

Needs 4 more match(es)

Honours
Season:

6

Matches Played

1

Wins

5

Losses

17%

Win Rate

2.0

Avg Win Margin

11.2

Avg Loss Margin

0-5

Home Record

1-0

Away Record

80%

Handicap Confidence

Provisional
6 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/7/2026

The handicap is built on a small recent sample (6 matches so far). It is deliberately conservative and will move as more results come in.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player3/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 6 matches

+14 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

21 May20 May21 May9 Jun2 Jul7 Jul-1371115

Gives 14 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current14
Win Percentage(35%)
17%
score-0.67→contribution-0.23
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
2.0
score-1.00→contribution-0.23
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
11.2
score-0.53→contribution-0.08
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
17%
score-0.67→contribution-0.07
Opponent Strength(15%)
884
score-0.80→contribution-0.12
Weighted Score-0.745
Sample Size Confidence
80%(6/33 matches)
Rating702 → shrunk 762→ adjusted 612
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)637
Recency Blend8% (6 recent matches)
Final Rating614
Handicap
NQ

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

1W5L6 matches·16.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Oxton Cons B2024–2026Division B, Division C61516.7%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/7/2026Eddie Massey **H8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision B
7/2/2026Mervyn PryceH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
6/9/2026Adam HughesH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision B
5/21/2026Michelle Caffin ***H15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
5/20/2025Mark HughesH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
5/21/2024Cathy KavanaghA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
George ONeill Trophy2 games · 1W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundSteve Ball / Michelle CaffinPensby C15-14WINWON
Quarters RoundKathy Cucchi / Colin DraperThingwall9-15LOSSLOST

Current Streak

5losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 1017% win rate↓ declining
LLLLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Eddie Massey **0110%7/7/2026
Mervyn Pryce0110%7/2/2026
Adam Hughes0110%6/9/2026
Michelle Caffin ***0110%5/21/2026
Mark Hughes0110%5/20/2025
Cathy Kavanagh101100%5/21/2024
Biggest Win
Cathy Kavanagh (+2)5/21/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Mark Hughes (-16)5/20/2025
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
33% → 0%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
8264 known · 2 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
1-325% win rate

By Division

Division B0-4 (0%)
Division C1-1 (50%)
Division B0%
0W·4L·4 played
Division C50%
1W·1L·2 played

Debut

May 21, 2024

Latest

Jul 7, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

2.0 (6 total)

Seasons

202420252026