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Crown Green Handicap

Margaret Page

Team: Heswall RBL BDivision: League 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

747

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

33

Matches Played

14

Wins

19

Losses

42%

Win Rate

5.4

Avg Win Margin

11.5

Avg Loss Margin

9-10

Home Record

5-9

Away Record

67%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
32 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/22/2025

A solid recent sample: 32 of 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player3/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 33 matches

+11 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

21 Apr17 May28 Jun5 Aug9 May27 Jun25 Jul22 Aug-14916

Gives 11 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(40%)
44%
score-0.13→contribution-0.05
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
5.4
score-0.43→contribution-0.11
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
11.4
score-0.56→contribution-0.08
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
60%
score+0.20→contribution+0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
810
score-0.34→contribution-0.03
Weighted Score-0.256
Sample Size Confidence
67%(32/39 matches)
Rating872 → shrunk 914→ adjusted 764
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)722
Recency Blend40% (32 recent matches)
Final Rating747
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

14W19L33 matches·42.4% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Heswall RBL B2024–2025League 232141843.8%
Heswall RBL2023League 21010%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/22/2025David PickinH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
8/18/2025Wendy ThompsonA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
8/15/2025Gavin MellingA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 2
8/11/2025Paul DraperH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 2
8/4/2025Victor PeersA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
7/25/2025Michael WalshH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
7/18/2025Ronald ParryH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
7/7/2025Ethel (etty) JonesH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 2
6/30/2025Gill SheenH10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 2
6/27/2025Paul SmithA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 2
6/13/2025Dawn ParsleyH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 2
6/6/2025Michael HinesH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
5/23/2025Peter JonesH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 2
5/16/2025Roy WilliamsA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 2
5/9/2025Trevor BarracloughH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
5/2/2025Jayne EcclesA21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 2
4/25/2025Jaxon McelnayH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 2
8/16/2024vs Gladstone BA4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 2
8/5/2024Jackie ThompsonA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
8/2/2024Tommy RobertsH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
7/26/2024Adrian CairnsA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 2
7/15/2024Jackie SnapeA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
6/28/2024Mike SmethurstH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 2
6/14/2024Paul LewisH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
6/3/2024Stephen BibbyA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 2
5/31/2024Adrian CairnsH5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 2
5/24/2024Jane BradshawA4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 2
5/17/2024Graham RobinsonH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 2
5/13/2024Dave GriffithsH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 2
5/10/2024Mike DunneA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 2
4/26/2024Cathy DohertyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
4/22/2024Colin GoodwinH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
4/21/2023Syd TaylorH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 2
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl4 games · 1W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundDonald ClarkPort Sunlight Village & Works12-21LOSSLOST
20252 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundNick WelshManor Road B21-20WINWON
Round of 16 RoundMatty BradyGladstone B1-21LOSSLOST
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 Round* Darren HankinGladstone2-21LOSSLOST
Cartwright Cup1 games · 0W
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundChristian TitherGladstone B16-21LOSSLOST
Stott Cup3 games · 0W
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundZoe StrattonTixall B10-21LOSSLOST
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundAndy WainwrightParkfield19-21LOSSLOST
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundGeorge SaxtonBebington Park16-21LOSSWON
Graham White Cup3 games · 1W
20233 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundGaynor GreenfieldGladstone B13-21LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundRon AstleUpton Victory Hall B21-15WINWON
Final RoundHanna LusseyNew Brighton Quarry Vikings B4-21LOSSLOST
Doctor Dawson Victory Cup1 games · 0W
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundJackie SnapeParkfield7-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

4wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

8

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWWWL
Last 1060% win rate↑ improving
WWWWLWLWLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Adrian Cairns0220%7/26/2024
David Pickin101100%8/22/2025
Wendy Thompson101100%8/18/2025
Gavin Melling101100%8/15/2025
Paul Draper101100%8/11/2025
Victor Peers0110%8/4/2025
Michael Walsh101100%7/25/2025
Ronald Parry0110%7/18/2025
Ethel (etty) Jones101100%7/7/2025
Gill Sheen0110%6/30/2025
Biggest Win
Jaxon Mcelnay (+12)4/25/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Unknown (-17)8/16/2024
Best Season
202565% · 17 matches
Worst Season
202420% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
19% → 65%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
79431 known · 2 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-30% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
13-1546% win rate
League 242.4%
14W·19L·33 played

Debut

Apr 21, 2023

Latest

Aug 22, 2025

Seasons Active

3 (2.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

11.0 (33 total)

Seasons

202320242025