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Crown Green Handicap

Margaret Caffery

Team: PensbyDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

650

Current Handicap

13
Honours
Season:

25

Matches Played

10

Wins

15

Losses

40%

Win Rate

6.6

Avg Win Margin

9.3

Avg Loss Margin

7-6

Home Record

3-9

Away Record

41%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
25 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/12/2019

Only 25 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player4/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 25 matches

+13 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

16 May13 Jun1 Jul22 Jul12 Aug12 Jun10 May12 Jul-13714

Gives 13 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current13
Win Percentage(40%)
40%
score-0.20→contribution-0.08
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
6.6
score-0.23→contribution-0.06
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.3
score-0.22→contribution-0.03
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
30%
score-0.40→contribution-0.04
Opponent Strength(10%)
894
score-0.32→contribution-0.03
Weighted Score-0.244
Sample Size Confidence
41%(25/39 matches)
Rating878 → shrunk 950→ adjusted 650
Handicap
13

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

10W15L25 matches·40% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby2016–2019League 325101540%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/12/2019Graham WrightH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
7/5/2019Eddie FosterA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
6/28/2019David CrawfordH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
5/10/2019Mike BrannonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
8/13/2018Dave HulmstonA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
4/20/2018Mal EvansA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
6/12/2017Margaret PageH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
4/21/2017Joyce SteadA4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 3
8/19/2016David MollartA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2016Dave BynothH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
8/8/2016Mark ObrienA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
8/1/2016# Ian WilsonA1-21LOSS-20LeagueLeague 3
7/22/2016Jim OconnorH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2016Peter CowanA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
7/4/2016# Ken PalinH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
7/1/2016Dave BayneH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
6/24/2016Wayne RobertsA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
6/20/2016vs Lord NapierH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
6/13/2016Mervyn PryceH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
6/10/2016Mervyn PryceA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
6/3/2016Ron WilsonH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
5/20/2016Alf McdermottH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
5/16/2016Gerry BirchA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
5/6/2016Neil TurnerH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2016Sue LawsonA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl1 games · 1W
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundAlan FennaPoulton21-13WINWON
Stott Cup3 games · 0W
20163 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundSyd TaylorAlbany16-21LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundAlan CresswellNaval19-21LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundKen HowardParkfield19-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

7

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LLWLW
Last 1050% win rate— steady
LLWLWLWLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Mervyn Pryce0220%6/13/2016
Graham Wright0110%7/12/2019
Eddie Foster0110%7/5/2019
David Crawford101100%6/28/2019
Mike Brannon0110%5/10/2019
Dave Hulmston101100%8/13/2018
Mal Evans0110%4/20/2018
Margaret Page101100%6/12/2017
Joyce Stead0110%4/21/2017
David Mollart101100%8/19/2016
Biggest Win
David Mollart (+12)8/19/2016
Heaviest Defeat
# Ian Wilson (-20)8/1/2016
Best Season
201641% · 17 matches
Worst Season
201641% · 17 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
42% → 38%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
85318 known · 7 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-30% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
6-940% win rate
League 340%
10W·15L·25 played

Debut

Apr 22, 2016

Latest

Jul 12, 2019

Seasons Active

4 (3.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

6.3 (25 total)

Seasons

2016201720182019