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Crown Green Handicap

Lynn Bailey

Team: Pensby ADivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

1052

Current Handicap

5
Honours
Season:

85

Matches Played

51

Wins

34

Losses

60%

Win Rate

8.8

Avg Win Margin

7.1

Avg Loss Margin

30-10

Home Record

21-24

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
25 / 17 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/25/2026

A large recent sample: 25 matches in the 2026 window, comfortably past the 17-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

50 Wins

51 wins

Next goal: Centurion51/100
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2025
20-Win Season25 wins

Handicap Trend

All Time · 85 matches

+5 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

21 Aug8 Jul12 May23 Jun5 Aug28 Apr13 Jul25 Aug-1371115

Gives 5 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current5
Win Percentage(40%)
56%
score+0.12→contribution+0.05
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.7
score-0.05→contribution-0.01
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
5.6
score+0.39→contribution+0.06
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
55%
score+0.10→contribution+0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
980
score+0.10→contribution+0.01
Weighted Score+0.115
Sample Size Confidence
100%(25/17 matches)
Rating1058 → shrunk 1058
Recent 1-Season Rating (2026)1040
Recency Blend33% (25 recent matches)
Final Rating1052
Handicap
5

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 17, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

51W34L85 matches·60% win rate
-51 since first recorded
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby C2023–2025Division 243281565.1%
Pensby A2025–2026Division 124121250%
Pensby B2025–2026Division 11811761.1%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/25/2026Debbie Roberts (SA)H21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
8/24/2026Debbie Formston-WrightA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
8/20/2026Etty JonesH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
8/17/2026Debbie Formston-WrightA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
8/11/2026Karen Ellis (FA)A20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
8/10/2026Mo MillerH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
8/3/2026Christine Dunbar (FA)H14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
7/30/2026Joy Humphreys (SA)A21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
7/28/2026Wendy Longman (SB)H21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 1
7/23/2026Rita PlattA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
7/20/2026Eileen Lavelle (FA)H21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
7/16/2026Kate WoodH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
7/13/2026Katie JonesH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
7/7/2026Lesley Burke (FA)A21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
6/18/2026Pauline HoeyA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
6/9/2026Eileen Lavelle (FA)A21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
6/8/2026Babs Woodward (SA)A3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 1
6/2/2026Lynne Cooper (SA)A16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
5/26/2026Katie JonesA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
5/7/2026Barbara GrantH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
5/5/2026Iris Batman (FA)A14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
5/1/2026Anne Johnston (SB)A21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
4/28/2026Debbie Formston-WrightH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
4/21/2026Nikki Melling (SA)A21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
4/20/2026Margaret Caffery (SB)H21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
8/28/2025Fiona Yardley (FA)A21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
8/26/2025Tania Gilfoyle (SA)H14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
8/21/2025Sue Jenkins (SA)H21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
8/19/2025Julie MccreadieH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
8/18/2025Tess SzymanskaA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
8/14/2025Jean HolmesH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
8/12/2025Helen Armstrong (SA)H21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
8/11/2025Babs Woodward (SA)A21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
8/5/2025Angela HoldenA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
7/25/2025Pat EdgeA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
7/21/2025Linda HowardA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
7/14/2025Debbie SilcockA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
7/9/2025Veronica Thompson (SB)A21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
7/8/2025Helen Armstrong (SA)A9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
7/7/2025Anne Johnston (SB)H21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 1
7/3/2025Irene Yates (FA)H21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
7/1/2025Doris HeyesH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
6/26/2025Ann ScottH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
6/24/2025Veronica Thompson (SB)H21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
6/23/2025Shelia Maddaford (SA)H21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
6/19/2025Mavis Camplin (SA)H15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
6/18/2025Elaine HoweA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
6/17/2025Nikki Melling (SA)A19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
6/16/2025Sandra HerionH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
6/10/2025Susan Cowan (FA)A15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
6/5/2025Hillary RiceH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
6/2/2025Mary KirbyH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
5/29/2025Sue TilstonH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
5/20/2025Gillian RogersA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
5/13/2025Lynn HeaneyA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
5/12/2025Bev ArnoldA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
5/8/2025Ann Blake (FA)A18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
5/1/2025Ann ClemettH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
4/29/2025Karen SmithH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 1
4/28/2025Debbie GreenH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
4/22/2025Mavis Camplin (SA)A21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
8/27/2024Yvonne Salisbury (FB)H21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
8/8/2024Sandra DavidsonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
7/30/2024Teresa RaffertyA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
7/22/2024Denise CapperH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
7/18/2024Brenda BaxendaleA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
7/8/2024Mandy GreenH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
7/4/2024Penny MacDonald (FB)A15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/10/2024Valerie CoxH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
6/3/2024Gill OwensH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
5/30/2024Vivian CullimoreA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
5/23/2024Mandy GreenA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
5/13/2024Gill SmithA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
5/7/2024Eileen Lavelle (SB)H21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
5/3/2024Geraldine ConnollyA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
4/23/2024Mary KirbyH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
8/21/2023Clare BradyA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
8/17/2023Sue TilstonA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
8/10/2023Jean HolmesA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
8/3/2023Gail FrancesH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
7/27/2023Joan JonesA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
7/17/2023Letitia WilkinsH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
7/6/2023Jean HodgsonH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
6/27/2023Brenda BaxendaleA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
6/21/2023Sue EdwardsA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

7

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
WLLLL
Last 1050% win rate↓ declining
WLLLLWLWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Debbie Formston-Wright0330%8/24/2026
Eileen Lavelle (FA)202100%7/20/2026
Katie Jones11250%7/13/2026
Babs Woodward (SA)11250%6/8/2026
Anne Johnston (SB)202100%5/1/2026
Nikki Melling (SA)11250%4/21/2026
Jean Holmes11250%8/14/2025
Helen Armstrong (SA)11250%8/12/2025
Veronica Thompson (SB)202100%7/9/2025
Mavis Camplin (SA)11250%6/19/2025
Biggest Win
Wendy Longman (SB) (+18)7/28/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Babs Woodward (SA) (-18)6/8/2026
Nemesis
Debbie Formston-Wright0-3 H2H
Best Season
202569% · 36 matches
Worst Season
202656% · 25 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
55% → 65%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
90879 known · 6 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
12-1544% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
35-1767% win rate

By Division

Division 228-15 (65%)
Division 123-19 (55%)
Division 154.8%
23W·19L·42 played
Division 265.1%
28W·15L·43 played

Debut

Jun 21, 2023

Latest

Aug 25, 2026

Seasons Active

4 (3.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

21.3 (85 total)

Seasons

2023202420252026