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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

Lucas Farragher

Team: Tixall BDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

775

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

18

Matches Played

7

Wins

11

Losses

39%

Win Rate

8.4

Avg Win Margin

9.7

Avg Loss Margin

3-6

Home Record

4-5

Away Record

30%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
18 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/11/2026

Only 18 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins7/50

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 18 matches

+11 Rising
5 May21 May16 Jun1 Jul7 Jul9 Jul29 Jul11 Aug-13713
Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(35%)
39%
score-0.22→contribution-0.08
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
8.4
score+0.07→contribution+0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.7
score-0.29→contribution-0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
39%
score-0.22→contribution-0.02
Opponent Strength(15%)
797
score-0.47→contribution-0.07
Weighted Score-0.202
Sample Size Confidence
30%(18/33 matches)
Rating919 → shrunk 976→ adjusted 776
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)771
Recency Blend24% (18 recent matches)
Final Rating775
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

7W11L18 matches·38.9% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Tixall B2026Division C1871138.9%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/11/2026Rita SimpsonH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
8/4/2026Georgina MiddlemasH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
7/30/2026John NixonH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
7/29/2026Ray HartleyA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
7/23/2026Paul HarrisH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
7/9/2026Sioux McGookin ***H21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
7/8/2026Dot RowlandsA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
7/7/2026Colin TurnerA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
7/2/2026Karen DunnH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
7/1/2026John HorrocksA21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision C
6/23/2026Josephine FitzpatrickA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
6/16/2026Paul ChapmanA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
6/9/2026Joe RiceA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
5/28/2026Julie MccreadieH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
5/21/2026Susan CowanH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
5/19/2026Mal SmithA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
5/14/2026Kathryn HowardH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
5/5/2026Paul CoxA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
Geoff Clare Trophy2 games · 1W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundMichael HewittPort Sunlight C21-17WINWON
Quarters RoundMark PeersSea Dog7-21LOSSLOST
Leverhulme Cup2 games · 0W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundMark PeersSea Dog9-21LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundKevin WalshHeswall Rbl B4-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLWLL
Last 1040% win rate↓ declining
LLWLLWWLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Rita Simpson0110%8/11/2026
Georgina Middlemas0110%8/4/2026
John Nixon101100%7/30/2026
Ray Hartley0110%7/29/2026
Paul Harris0110%7/23/2026
Sioux McGookin ***101100%7/9/2026
Dot Rowlands101100%7/8/2026
Colin Turner0110%7/7/2026
Karen Dunn0110%7/2/2026
John Horrocks101100%7/1/2026
Biggest Win
John Horrocks (+19)7/1/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Susan Cowan (-16)5/21/2026
Best Season
202639% · 18 matches
Worst Season
202639% · 18 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
44% → 33%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
78517 known · 1 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
6-1038% win rate
Division C38.9%
7W·11L·18 played

Debut

May 5, 2026

Latest

Aug 11, 2026

Seasons Active

1 (3 mo span)

Matches / Season

18.0 (18 total)

Seasons

2026