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Crown Green Handicap

Liz Stewardson

Team: Heswall RBL BDivision: League 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

856

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

17

Matches Played

7

Wins

10

Losses

41%

Win Rate

9.4

Avg Win Margin

5.9

Avg Loss Margin

4-5

Home Record

3-5

Away Record

19%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
17 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/31/2026

Only 17 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player3/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 17 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

26 Jul16 May13 Jun18 Jul15 Aug15 May12 Jun31 Jul-12510

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(40%)
41%
score-0.18→contribution-0.07
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.4
score+0.24→contribution+0.06
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
5.9
score+0.35→contribution+0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
41%
score-0.18→contribution-0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
846
score-0.35→contribution-0.03
Weighted Score-0.011
Sample Size Confidence
19%(17/39 matches)
Rating995 → shrunk 999→ adjusted 858
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)848
Recency Blend23% (17 recent matches)
Final Rating856
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

7W10L17 matches·41.2% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Heswall RBL B2024–2026League 2167943.8%
Heswall RBL2026League 11010%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/31/2026Alan HughesH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
7/10/2026Sam WilliamsA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 2
6/12/2026Dave WilliamsA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
5/29/2026Ryan DobsonA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 1
5/15/2026Rodney WatkinsH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
4/24/2026George McalenyH21-1WIN+20LeagueLeague 2
8/22/2025Chris KellyH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 2
8/15/2025Karen EllisA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
7/25/2025Ken HowardH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 2
7/18/2025Albert StanleyH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 2
7/4/2025Roy JonesA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 2
6/13/2025Karen EllisH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 2
5/30/2025Frank PotterA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 2
5/23/2025Ryan BarkerH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 2
5/16/2025Mark McgrathA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 2
8/2/2024Peter HolianH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 2
7/26/2024Edna CookA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 2
Stott Cup1 games · 1W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundGeorge GuyGrange21-15WINLOST
Graham White Cup1 games · 1W
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundWalk OverTixall B21-0WINWON

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LWLLL
Last 1030% win rate— steady
LWLLLWLLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Karen Ellis11250%8/15/2025
Alan Hughes0110%7/31/2026
Sam Williams101100%7/10/2026
Dave Williams0110%6/12/2026
Ryan Dobson0110%5/29/2026
Rodney Watkins0110%5/15/2026
George Mcaleny101100%4/24/2026
Chris Kelly0110%8/22/2025
Ken Howard0110%7/25/2025
Albert Stanley101100%7/18/2025
Biggest Win
George Mcaleny (+20)4/24/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Roy Jones (-14)7/4/2025
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
63% → 22%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
84617 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-50% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
7-558% win rate

By Division

League 27-9 (44%)
League 10-1 (0%)
League 10%
0W·1L·1 played
League 243.8%
7W·9L·16 played

Debut

Jul 26, 2024

Latest

Jul 31, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.0 yr span)

Matches / Season

5.7 (17 total)

Seasons

202420252026