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Crown Green Handicap

Lesley Burke

Team: Heswall RBL BDivision: League 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

750

Current Handicap

NQ

Needs 5 more match(es)

Honours
Season:

5

Matches Played

1

Wins

4

Losses

20%

Win Rate

15.0

Avg Win Margin

12.3

Avg Loss Margin

1-2

Home Record

0-2

Away Record

80%

Handicap Confidence

Provisional
5 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/22/2025

The handicap is built on a small recent sample (5 matches so far). It is deliberately conservative and will move as more results come in.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player1/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 5 matches

+11 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

16 May13 Jun11 Jul25 Jul22 Aug-13712

Gives 11 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(40%)
20%
score-0.60→contribution-0.24
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
15.0
score+1.00→contribution+0.25
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
12.3
score-0.71→contribution-0.11
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
20%
score-0.60→contribution-0.06
Opponent Strength(10%)
759
score-0.94→contribution-0.09
Weighted Score-0.250
Sample Size Confidence
80%(5/39 matches)
Rating875 → shrunk 900→ adjusted 750
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)750
Recency Blend7% (5 recent matches)
Final Rating750
Handicap
NQ

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

1W4L5 matches·20% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Heswall RBL B2025League 251420%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/22/2025Aaron RichardsH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 2
7/25/2025Phil HaleH10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 2
7/11/2025Christian KearneyA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 2
6/13/2025Ann BrownH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
5/16/2025Frazer PollockA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 2

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
WLLLL
Last 1020% win rate— steady
WLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Aaron Richards101100%8/22/2025
Phil Hale0110%7/25/2025
Christian Kearney0110%7/11/2025
Ann Brown0110%6/13/2025
Frazer Pollock0110%5/16/2025
Biggest Win
Aaron Richards (+15)8/22/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Christian Kearney (-16)7/11/2025
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
0% → 33%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
7595 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
1-325% win rate
League 220%
1W·4L·5 played

Debut

May 16, 2025

Latest

Aug 22, 2025

Seasons Active

1 (3 mo span)

Matches / Season

5.0 (5 total)

Seasons

2025