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Crown Green Handicap

Ken Naylor

Team: Parr ConsDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/28/2026

Rating

924

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

59

Matches Played

23

Wins

36

Losses

39%

Win Rate

8.6

Avg Win Margin

8.1

Avg Loss Margin

13-17

Home Record

10-19

Away Record

26%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
21 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/10/2024

Only 21 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins23/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 59 matches

+11 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

17 May19 Jul12 Apr20 Jun22 Aug21 May9 Jul10 Sept-1371115

Gives 11 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(40%)
29%
score-0.43→contribution-0.17
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.5
score+0.08→contribution+0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.5
score-0.08→contribution-0.01
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
30%
score-0.40→contribution-0.04
Opponent Strength(10%)
942
score-0.49→contribution-0.05
Weighted Score-0.251
Sample Size Confidence
26%(21/41 matches)
Rating925 → shrunk 980→ adjusted 930
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)913
Recency Blend28% (21 recent matches)
Final Rating925
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

23W36L59 matches·39% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Parr Cons2023–2024Division 2, Division 340122830%
Parr Cons B2022Division 31911857.9%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/10/2024Jimmy NolanA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
9/3/2024Terry KellyH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
8/27/2024Ged BrownA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
8/20/2024Jimmy WeaverH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
8/6/2024B MurphyH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
7/30/2024Peter JaundrillA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
7/23/2024A GradyH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
7/16/2024Daniel RigbyA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
7/9/2024Brian LeaH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
7/2/2024Antony JohnsonA0-21LOSS-21LeagueDivision 2
6/25/2024Andrew WoodwardH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
6/18/2024Tim WaineH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
6/11/2024Les SimmsA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
6/4/2024Ged FillinghamH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
5/28/2024B MurphyA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
5/21/2024Paul WilsonH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
5/14/2024Liam RogersA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
5/7/2024Daniel RigbyH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
4/30/2024Darren EllisA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
4/23/2024David HeyesH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
4/9/2024Terry KellyA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
9/5/2023George BishopH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
8/29/2023John MayerA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
8/22/2023Dave RahmanH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
8/15/2023Alec EdwardsH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 3
8/8/2023Tom FrithA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
8/1/2023Charlie McFarlaneH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
7/25/2023Phil WatkinsA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
7/11/2023Kevin GlassA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
7/4/2023Steve BrackleyH1-21LOSS-20LeagueDivision 3
6/27/2023John PyeA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
6/20/2023Jim McMahonH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
6/13/2023Fred HullA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
6/6/2023Alec EdwardsA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
5/30/2023W PenningtonH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
5/23/2023Geoff HoughtonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
5/16/2023Ken GreenallH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
5/2/2023David HarrisonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
4/18/2023Robert PageH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
4/12/2023K HurstA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
8/30/2022Roy LesterA21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision 3
8/23/2022Bill AssonH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
8/16/2022Ken DuffyA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
8/9/2022H GreenhallH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 3
8/2/2022Peter O'ConnorA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
7/26/2022Terry JonesH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
7/19/2022Mike HenthornH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
7/13/2022K HurstA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
6/28/2022Paul LiptrotA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
6/21/2022Alan HalsallH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
6/14/2022Geoff SkeltonA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
6/7/2022Martin JonesH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
5/31/2022Peter BannonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
5/24/2022Greg WinstanleyH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
5/17/2022Malcolm WattersonA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
5/10/2022Keith HaskayneA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
5/3/2022Jack HardenH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
4/19/2022Anthony BurrowsH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
4/12/2022Andy HillA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

7

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLLLW
Last 1030% win rate↑ improving
WLLLWWLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Terry Kelly0220%9/3/2024
B Murphy11250%8/6/2024
Daniel Rigby11250%7/16/2024
Alec Edwards202100%8/15/2023
K Hurst11250%4/12/2023
Jimmy Nolan101100%9/10/2024
Ged Brown0110%8/27/2024
Jimmy Weaver0110%8/20/2024
Peter Jaundrill101100%7/30/2024
A Grady0110%7/23/2024
Biggest Win
Roy Lester (+19)8/30/2022
Heaviest Defeat
Antony Johnson (-21)7/2/2024
Best Season
202258% · 19 matches
Worst Season
202429% · 21 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
45% → 33%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
90859 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-420% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
22-3241% win rate

By Division

Division 317-21 (45%)
Division 26-15 (29%)
Division 228.6%
6W·15L·21 played
Division 344.7%
17W·21L·38 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 10, 2024

Seasons Active

3 (2.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

19.7 (59 total)

Seasons

202220232024