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Crown Green Handicap

Ken Arnold

Team: PensbyDivision: Division ALast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

844

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

38

Matches Played

14

Wins

24

Losses

37%

Win Rate

6.5

Avg Win Margin

7.9

Avg Loss Margin

11-9

Home Record

3-15

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
38 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/17/2017

A large recent sample: 38 matches in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 33-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins14/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 38 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

17 May12 Jul27 Jul11 May13 Jun6 Jul27 Jul17 Aug-125811

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(35%)
37%
score-0.26→contribution-0.09
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
6.5
score-0.25→contribution-0.06
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.9
score+0.01→contribution+0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
30%
score-0.40→contribution-0.04
Opponent Strength(15%)
941
score-0.33→contribution-0.05
Weighted Score-0.242
Sample Size Confidence
100%(38/33 matches)
Rating903 → shrunk 903→ adjusted 844
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

14W24L38 matches·36.8% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby2017Division A2051525%
Pensby B2016–2017Division B189950%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/17/2017Peter McgrathH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision A
8/15/2017Alan PophamH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision A
8/10/2017Alan MathewsA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision A
8/3/2017Mike WhalleyH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision A
8/1/2017John SinkinsonA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision A
7/27/2017Ken HowardH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision A
7/25/2017Dave KinsonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision A
7/20/2017Jordan McdermottH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision A
7/13/2017Stuart BlairA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision A
7/11/2017Colin PortisH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision A
7/6/2017Bill DowneyH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
7/4/2017Graham CairnsA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision A
6/29/2017Dave WilliamsA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision A
6/22/2017Peter LoveH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
6/15/2017Paul LewisA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision A
6/13/2017Joe WoodcockH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision B
6/8/2017Alan HeatonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
6/1/2017Mark HoughtonA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision A
5/25/2017Dave KinsonH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision A
5/16/2017Carl MilesH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision A
5/11/2017Dave SharpA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision A
8/9/2016Mark HiltonA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision B
8/4/2016Colin BrownH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
8/3/2016Eric CookH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
8/2/2016Jeff HitchellA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision B
7/27/2016Steve CrightonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
7/26/2016Phil SpencerA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision B
7/20/2016vs Tixall CA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision B
7/19/2016Peter McgheeH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
7/14/2016Philip SweeneyA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
7/12/2016Barry CallisterA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
7/7/2016Ray PriceH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
7/5/2016Derek MycockH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision B
6/16/2016Don RobertsH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
6/9/2016Bob JonesA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision B
5/17/2016Ian NorrisH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision B
5/12/2016Joe BrettH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
5/10/2016Billy CottamA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision B
Leverhulme Cup3 games · 2W
20172 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundMike GallagherKendal21-17WINWON
Round of 16 RoundTrevor DuckersHeswall Rbl B21-8WINWON
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundLes L WilliamsTixall B16-21LOSSLOST
George ONeill Trophy3 games · 2W
20172 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundFred Doherty / Jim BlackwoodPort Sunlight V&w15-5WINWON
Round of 16 RoundMark Mcasey / Terry LanganBromborough Recs B5-15LOSSLOST
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundJohn Squires / Keith GentleBebington Park B15-2WINWON

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

10

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWLLW
Last 1020% win rate↑ improving
LWLLWLLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Dave Kinson11250%7/25/2017
Peter Mcgrath0110%8/17/2017
Alan Popham101100%8/15/2017
Alan Mathews0110%8/10/2017
Mike Whalley0110%8/3/2017
John Sinkinson101100%8/1/2017
Ken Howard0110%7/27/2017
Jordan Mcdermott0110%7/20/2017
Stuart Blair0110%7/13/2017
Colin Portis0110%7/11/2017
Biggest Win
Joe Woodcock (+15)6/13/2017
Heaviest Defeat
Graham Cairns (-16)7/4/2017
Best Season
201647% · 17 matches
Worst Season
201729% · 21 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
47% → 26%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
93032 known · 6 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
2-625% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
9-1538% win rate

By Division

Division A5-15 (25%)
Division B9-9 (50%)
Division A25%
5W·15L·20 played
Division B50%
9W·9L·18 played

Debut

May 10, 2016

Latest

Aug 17, 2017

Seasons Active

2 (1.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

19.0 (38 total)

Seasons

20162017