Crown Green HandicapFairPlay Bowls
Live
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Back to Players
Crown Green Handicap

Keith Tully

Team: Heswall RblDivision: Division ALast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

993

Current Handicap

6
Honours
Season:

27

Matches Played

13

Wins

14

Losses

48%

Win Rate

9.0

Avg Win Margin

5.9

Avg Loss Margin

6-7

Home Record

7-7

Away Record

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins13/50

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 27 matches

+6 Rising
1 Jun15 Jun12 Jul27 Jul22 Aug28 May13 Jun4 Jul-12510
Started0
Lowest0
Current6
Win Percentage(35%)
48%
score-0.04→contribution-0.01
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
9.0
score+0.17→contribution+0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
5.9
score+0.35→contribution+0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
45%
score-0.10→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(15%)
969
score-0.08→contribution-0.01
Weighted Score+0.057
Sample Size Confidence
67%(27/33 matches)
Rating1023 → shrunk 1015→ adjusted 978
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)1019
Recency Blend36% (27 recent matches)
Final Rating993
Handicap
6

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

13W14L27 matches·48.1% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Heswall Rbl2023–2024Division A1910952.6%
Heswall Rbl B2023Division B83537.5%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/4/2024Colin PortisA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
6/25/2024Peter McgrathA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision A
6/18/2024Nick WoodwardH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
6/13/2024Dave HarrisonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision A
6/11/2024John SheenH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision A
6/4/2024Denis HollisH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision A
5/30/2024Mark SmithA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision A
5/28/2024Nick Burridge JrH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision A
5/21/2024Mick HindsA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision A
5/7/2024Vic AlcockH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision A
8/31/2023Brian LawrenceH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision A
8/22/2023Paul CottamH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision A
8/15/2023Colin MounseyA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision A
8/10/2023Nigel HughesA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision A
8/3/2023Graham WrightA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision A
7/27/2023Dave LewisH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision A
7/25/2023Mark WoodH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision A
7/20/2023Wayne JevonsA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision A
7/12/2023vs Arno TixallA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
7/6/2023Phil GordonH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision B
7/4/2023Kath DaviesH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
6/29/2023Eric CookA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision B
6/15/2023Colin WolfarthA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision B
6/13/2023Jordan McelnayH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision A
6/8/2023Kevin CafferyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision B
6/1/2023David CruickshankA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision B
5/18/2023Phil GordonA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
George ONeill Trophy2 games · 0W
20242 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundPaul Harris / Mark PeersSea Dog8-15LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundIan Muskett / Brian SomervilleTixall6-15LOSSLOST
Andy Dawson Cup2 games · 2W
20232 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundAnita MeldrumArno Tixall21-12WINWON
Semi Final RoundJohn RiggPensby21-16WINLOST
Leverhulme Cup1 games · 0W
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundGary DonaldsonAlbany16-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LWLLL
Last 1050% win rate↓ declining
LWLLLWWLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Phil Gordon11250%7/6/2023
Colin Portis0110%7/4/2024
Peter Mcgrath101100%6/25/2024
Nick Woodward0110%6/18/2024
Dave Harrison0110%6/13/2024
John Sheen0110%6/11/2024
Denis Hollis101100%6/4/2024
Mark Smith101100%5/30/2024
Nick Burridge Jr0110%5/28/2024
Mick Hinds101100%5/21/2024
Biggest Win
Dave Lewis (+15)7/27/2023
Heaviest Defeat
Wayne Jevons (-12)7/20/2023
Best Season
202450% · 10 matches
Worst Season
202347% · 17 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
46% → 50%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
96524 known · 3 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
2-820% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
9-564% win rate

By Division

Division A10-9 (53%)
Division B3-5 (38%)
Division A52.6%
10W·9L·19 played
Division B37.5%
3W·5L·8 played

Debut

May 18, 2023

Latest

Jul 4, 2024

Seasons Active

2 (1.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

13.5 (27 total)

Seasons

20232024