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Crown Green Handicap

Keith Mitchinson

Team: Unison ADivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

812

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

76

Matches Played

23

Wins

53

Losses

30%

Win Rate

7.4

Avg Win Margin

8.3

Avg Loss Margin

13-21

Home Record

10-32

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
49 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/1/2026

A large recent sample: 49 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 41-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player5/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 76 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

6 Sept20 Jun9 Apr19 Jun6 May2 Sept9 Jun1 Sept-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
43%
score-0.14→contribution-0.06
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.2
score-0.13→contribution-0.03
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.5
score+0.09→contribution+0.01
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
40%
score-0.20→contribution-0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
848
score-0.31→contribution-0.03
Weighted Score-0.129
Sample Size Confidence
100%(49/41 matches)
Rating961 → shrunk 961→ adjusted 811
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)811
Recency Blend40% (49 recent matches)
Final Rating811
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

23W53L76 matches·30.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Unison A2022–2026Division 2, Division 176235330.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026Ian LallyA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
8/25/2026Mark WakefieldH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
8/18/2026Tony PilkingtonA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
8/11/2026Gary IrelandH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
8/4/2026Derek RoylanceA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
7/21/2026Craig PunshonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
7/14/2026Roy KnowlesA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
7/13/2026Richard MartlandA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
6/23/2026Kieron FeeneyH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
6/16/2026Peter BannonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
6/9/2026Kevin BlackH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
5/19/2026Alex WallaceA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
5/12/2026Frank CardwellH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
5/5/2026Roy KnowlesH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
4/28/2026Lee BolanA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
4/21/2026Brian ForsythH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
4/14/2026Karl MellingA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
4/7/2026Gordon DerbyshireH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
9/3/2025Garry CarrH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
9/2/2025Tom OllertonA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2025Colin PritchardH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
8/19/2025Ged FinneyA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
8/12/2025B MurphyH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
8/5/2025Frank WilliamsA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
7/22/2025Lee BolanA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
7/15/2025Ken ParrH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
7/8/2025Ward HattonA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
7/1/2025Mike SmithH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
5/20/2025John CooperA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
5/6/2025Ernie HarrisonA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
4/15/2025Steve DonnellyH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
8/27/2024David HeyesH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
8/20/2024Sid LloydH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
8/13/2024Stuart BrandA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
8/6/2024Eddie BrooksH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
7/30/2024Colin RamplingA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
7/23/2024Robbie MarshallH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
7/9/2024Brian EllisH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
6/19/2024Ken HillA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/18/2024Jack HowarthA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
6/11/2024Martin WebsterA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/4/2024Bob AppletonH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
5/21/2024Scott SeeH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
5/14/2024John MacklinA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
5/7/2024Dave RogersH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
4/30/2024Austin DavisA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
4/23/2024Nick BateH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
4/16/2024Anthony MeeA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
4/9/2024John WilliamsH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
9/5/2023Keith WhalleyA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
8/29/2023Joe JacksonH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
8/22/2023Jimmy RobyA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
8/15/2023Andy PearceH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
8/1/2023James WhalleyH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
7/25/2023Craig LoweA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 1
7/18/2023Simon KeenaghanH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
7/11/2023Gary AndersA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
6/20/2023Steve JohnsonA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
6/13/2023Mark SweetH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
6/7/2023Keith WilliamsA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
5/23/2023Mike HavernA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
5/16/2023Andy ToppingH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
5/9/2023Simon KeenaghanA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
5/2/2023Gary AndersH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
4/25/2023P CooksonH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
4/18/2023Ken BowenA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
4/11/2023Norman AthertonH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
9/6/2022Jack HowarthA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
8/23/2022Lee StringfellowA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
8/16/2022John DuncanA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 1
8/2/2022Liam McEganA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 1
7/5/2022Mark LeonardA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
6/7/2022S LoweH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
5/31/2022Dave WebsterA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
5/18/2022Alan BirchA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
5/3/2022Declan KearnsA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

17

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLLLW
Last 1040% win rate— steady
WLLLWLLWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Roy Knowles0220%7/14/2026
Lee Bolan0220%4/28/2026
Jack Howarth11250%6/18/2024
Simon Keenaghan0220%7/18/2023
Gary Anders0220%7/11/2023
Ian Lally101100%9/1/2026
Mark Wakefield0110%8/25/2026
Tony Pilkington0110%8/18/2026
Gary Ireland0110%8/11/2026
Derek Roylance101100%8/4/2026
Biggest Win
Brian Ellis (+15)7/9/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Declan Kearns (-18)5/3/2022
Best Season
202554% · 13 matches
Worst Season
20236% · 18 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
16% → 45%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
89376 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-160% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
23-3738% win rate

By Division

Division 221-28 (43%)
Division 12-25 (7%)
Division 17.4%
2W·25L·27 played
Division 242.9%
21W·28L·49 played

Debut

May 3, 2022

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

15.2 (76 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026