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Crown Green Handicap

John Shaw

Team: Thingwall BDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

831

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

11

Matches Played

2

Wins

9

Losses

18%

Win Rate

4.5

Avg Win Margin

14.7

Avg Loss Margin

1-4

Home Record

1-5

Away Record

11%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
11 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/12/2025

Only 11 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 11 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

30 May6 May10 Jun22 Jul5 Aug12 Aug-13714

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(35%)
18%
score-0.64→contribution-0.22
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
4.5
score-0.58→contribution-0.13
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
14.7
score-1.00→contribution-0.15
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
18%
score-0.64→contribution-0.06
Opponent Strength(15%)
912
score-0.73→contribution-0.11
Weighted Score-0.694
Sample Size Confidence
11%(11/33 matches)
Rating722 → shrunk 969→ adjusted 830
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)838
Recency Blend15% (11 recent matches)
Final Rating831
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

2W9L11 matches·18.2% win rate
-1 since first recorded
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Thingwall B2023–2025Division B, Division C112918.2%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/12/2025James RyanH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision B
8/7/2025Jane LloydA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision B
8/5/2025Lynne TofieldH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision B
7/31/2025Derek EdwardsA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision B
7/22/2025Steve TelfordA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision B
7/8/2025Phil GordonA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision B
6/10/2025Max MotleyH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
5/20/2025Nicky BaileyA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision B
5/6/2025James AthertonH0-21LOSS-21LeagueDivision B
7/6/2023Maureen MillerA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
5/30/2023vs Bromborough Pool BH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
George ONeill Trophy3 games · 0W
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundElaine Milligan / Mandy MilliganPensby A3-15LOSSLOST
20222 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundPeter Love / Stephen LangtonOxton Cons B6-15LOSSWON
Quarters RoundJohn Finch / Darren HankinGladstone6-15LOSSLOST
Andy Dawson Cup1 games · 1W
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundJohn MurrayTixall21-17WINLOST
Leverhulme Cup1 games · 0W
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundColin MounseyCammell Laird5-21LOSSLOST
Geoff Clare Trophy1 games · 0W
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundMark JonesRoyden Hall11-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

6losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 1020% win rate↓ declining
LLLLLLWLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
James Ryan0110%8/12/2025
Jane Lloyd0110%8/7/2025
Lynne Tofield0110%8/5/2025
Derek Edwards0110%7/31/2025
Steve Telford0110%7/22/2025
Phil Gordon0110%7/8/2025
Max Motley101100%6/10/2025
Nicky Bailey0110%5/20/2025
James Atherton0110%5/6/2025
Maureen Miller101100%7/6/2023
Biggest Win
Max Motley (+6)6/10/2025
Heaviest Defeat
James Atherton (-21)5/6/2025
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
40% → 0%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
91310 known · 1 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-30% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-529% win rate

By Division

Division B1-8 (11%)
Division C1-1 (50%)
Division B11.1%
1W·8L·9 played
Division C50%
1W·1L·2 played

Debut

May 30, 2023

Latest

Aug 12, 2025

Seasons Active

2 (2.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

5.5 (11 total)

Seasons

20232025