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Crown Green Handicap

John Jelly

Team: Burtonwood ADivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

942

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

52

Matches Played

15

Wins

37

Losses

29%

Win Rate

9.7

Avg Win Margin

8.5

Avg Loss Margin

14-13

Home Record

1-24

Away Record

50%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
24 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/25/2026

Only 24 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Boosted by the Division 1 confidence floor rule.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player5/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 52 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

17 May19 Jul6 Sept1 Aug7 May29 Apr21 Apr25 Aug-14916

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(40%)
21%
score-0.58→contribution-0.23
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
13.6
score+0.93→contribution+0.23
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.4
score-0.23→contribution-0.03
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
25%
score-0.50→contribution-0.05
Opponent Strength(10%)
928
score-0.66→contribution-0.07
Weighted Score-0.151
Sample Size Confidence
50%(24/41 matches) · floored
Rating955 → shrunk 978→ adjusted 928
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)971
Recency Blend32% (24 recent matches)
Final Rating942
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

15W37L52 matches·28.8% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Burtonwood2022–2025Division 1, Division 242123028.6%
Burtonwood A2026Division 1103730%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/25/2026Danny EustaceH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
8/18/2026Lee DowningA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
8/4/2026AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 1
7/28/2026James WilliamsA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
7/21/2026David ThompsonH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
7/14/2026Andrew WoodwardA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
7/7/2026Phil AspinallH3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 1
5/19/2026James WilliamsH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
4/21/2026AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 1
4/15/2026Alan HeatonA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 1
8/26/2025Mike BeardH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
8/19/2025Phil HughesA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
7/8/2025James WilliamsA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 1
6/24/2025Andy PearceH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 1
6/10/2025Ray HayesH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
4/29/2025Ron SingletonH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 1
8/6/2024Brian LeaA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
7/23/2024John NugentA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
7/16/2024Roy PealingH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
7/9/2024Terry KellyA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
6/18/2024Ian FurbankH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
6/11/2024David EvansA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
5/7/2024Frank WilliamsA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
4/23/2024Ray HeskethA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
9/5/2023Greg WinstanleyA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
8/29/2023S DuncanH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
8/15/2023Roy KnowlesH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
8/8/2023Neil AconleyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
8/1/2023Ian PalmerH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2
7/18/2023Richard MartlandH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
7/4/2023Anthony OllertonA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
6/27/2023Anthony JonesH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
5/9/2023Colin JonesA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
4/18/2023Keith BrothwoodA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
9/6/2022Alan WrightA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
8/30/2022Harry OrrettH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
8/23/2022Walter MayA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
8/16/2022C PritchardH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
8/9/2022Steve SmithA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 2
8/2/2022Lance FletcherH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
7/19/2022Brian ForsythH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
7/12/2022Craig BrandA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
7/5/2022Michael PollockA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/21/2022Tommy EvansA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/14/2022Phil CookH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
5/31/2022Steve SmithH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
5/24/2022Roland GaskellA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
5/17/2022Barry ArnoldH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
5/10/2022Howard PinningtonA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
5/3/2022Mike BeardH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
4/26/2022Michael PollockH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
4/12/2022Dave RogersH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLWLL
Last 1030% win rate↑ improving
WLWLLLLLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
James Williams0330%7/28/2026
Absent202100%8/4/2026
Mike Beard0220%8/26/2025
Steve Smith0220%8/9/2022
Michael Pollock11250%7/5/2022
Danny Eustace101100%8/25/2026
Lee Downing0110%8/18/2026
David Thompson0110%7/21/2026
Andrew Woodward0110%7/14/2026
Phil Aspinall0110%7/7/2026
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)8/4/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Alan Heaton (-19)4/15/2026
Nemesis
James Williams0-3 H2H
Best Season
202340% · 10 matches
Worst Season
202630% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
35% → 23%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
88652 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
2-1017% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
13-2733% win rate

By Division

Division 211-25 (31%)
Division 14-12 (25%)
Division 125%
4W·12L·16 played
Division 230.6%
11W·25L·36 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Aug 25, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

10.4 (52 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026