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Crown Green Handicap

John Burke

Team: Pensby CDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

755

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

82

Matches Played

31

Wins

51

Losses

38%

Win Rate

7.9

Avg Win Margin

8.5

Avg Loss Margin

19-19

Home Record

12-32

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
82 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/3/2021

A large recent sample: 82 matches in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 33-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins31/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 82 matches

+11 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

7 Jul16 Aug6 Jul15 May17 Jul19 Jun18 May3 Aug-13713

Gives 11 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(35%)
38%
score-0.24→contribution-0.09
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
7.9
score-0.02→contribution-0.00
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.5
score-0.09→contribution-0.01
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
45%
score-0.10→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(15%)
897
score-0.36→contribution-0.05
Weighted Score-0.170
Sample Size Confidence
100%(82/33 matches)
Rating932 → shrunk 932→ adjusted 755
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

31W51L82 matches·37.8% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby C2018–2021Division C39182146.2%
Bebington Park2016–2017Division C, Division B38112728.9%
Pensby B2018–2021Division C, Division B42250%
Pensby2018Division A1010%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/3/2021David CruickshankA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
7/27/2021Kerys FreemanA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision C
7/21/2021vs Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
7/8/2021Keith MooresH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
6/30/2021vs Bromborough Pool BH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
6/23/2021vs Pensby BH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
6/15/2021Cathy DohertyA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
6/8/2021Chris BarlowA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
6/1/2021Alan HughesA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
5/25/2021Paul ChapmanA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
5/19/2021vs Sea DogH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
5/18/2021Kevin CafferyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
8/20/2019Lesley QuinnA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
8/8/2019Jim BlackwoodA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
8/7/2019vs Hoylake Central & MelroseA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
7/30/2019Roy BiggsA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
7/24/2019vs KendalH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
7/23/2019Jim IvanoffA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
7/11/2019Alan HoughtonH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
7/9/2019Ethel JonesA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision C
7/3/2019vs Sea DogH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
6/27/2019Tom RobertsA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
6/19/2019vs Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
5/15/2019vs Bromborough Recs BH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
5/9/2019Dave EdwardsA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
5/1/2019vs Hoylake Central & MelroseH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
8/21/2018Howard FernA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
8/8/2018vs Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
8/1/2018vs Hoylake Central & MelroseA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/26/2018Ian GillA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
7/25/2018vs Oxton Cons CH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
7/24/2018Kenneth WilliamsA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
7/17/2018Ann PritchardH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
7/12/2018Allan ClarkeA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
7/4/2018Eric PercivalH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
6/21/2018George GouldingA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
6/13/2018vs Hoylake Central & MelroseH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
6/6/2018vs Oxton Cons CA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
5/30/2018vs NestonH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
5/23/2018vs Sea DogH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
5/17/2018Peter MillerA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision B
5/16/2018vs Thingwall BH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision C
5/15/2018Eddie ThomasA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
5/10/2018#paul LewinA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision A
8/22/2017Colin MaddockA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
8/17/2017Alan EverittH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
8/15/2017Paul BlackwellA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision C
8/10/2017John DaviesH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
8/3/2017Jake McelnayA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
8/1/2017Sue ShawH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
7/13/2017Colin LitsterH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
7/11/2017Teresa DobsonA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
7/6/2017Jamillah BallH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
7/4/2017Alan EverittA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
6/29/2017Kenneth WilliamsH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
6/22/2017Chris DunbarA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
6/15/2017Bill PorterH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
6/7/2017vs Pensby CA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
5/25/2017Denise CapperA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
5/18/2017Joan GoudieH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
5/17/2017vs Oxton Cons CA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
5/11/2017Wally SmithH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
8/16/2016Norman HarrisonH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
8/15/2016Eddie LeathamH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision B
8/11/2016Leslie HobbsA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
8/9/2016Malcolm RannardH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision B
8/4/2016Irene BrettA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
7/28/2016Don RobertsA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
7/26/2016Phil HardyH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision B
7/21/2016Allen JonesA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
7/14/2016Philip MasonA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
7/12/2016Derek WigfieldH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision B
7/7/2016Peter MillerA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision B
7/5/2016Fleur BlackburnA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
6/29/2016vs Tixall CA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision B
6/9/2016Irene BrettH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision B
6/7/2016Ken KerrA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
6/2/2016Mark HiltonH3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision B
5/31/2016Dave RimmerH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision B
5/17/2016John KayllH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
5/12/2016Sue SharpA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
4/26/2016Alan QuintonH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
Geoff Clare Trophy5 games · 1W
20211 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundSue TilstonThingwall B21-19WINLOST
20193 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundRichie PhillipsKendal19-21LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundDereck SnedkerPt Sunlight Vill & Wks B7-21LOSSWON
Final RoundCarol WyburnBebington Park14-21LOSSLOST
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Semi Final RoundPeter McgrathOxton Cons C13-21LOSSLOST
George ONeill Trophy1 games · 1W
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundGeorge Lowden / John WyburnSea Dog15-8WINLOST

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
LWWWW
Last 1040% win rate↑ improving
LWWWWLLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Hoylake Central & Melrose0440%8/7/2019
Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks B303100%7/21/2021
Sea Dog303100%5/19/2021
Oxton Cons C0330%7/25/2018
Kenneth Williams202100%7/24/2018
Peter Miller0220%5/17/2018
Alan Everitt11250%8/17/2017
Irene Brett11250%8/4/2016
David Cruickshank0110%8/3/2021
Kerys Freeman101100%7/27/2021
Biggest Win
Paul Blackwell (+15)8/15/2017
Heaviest Defeat
Mark Hilton (-18)6/2/2016
Nemesis
Hoylake Central & Melrose0-4 H2H
Favourite Victim
Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks B3-0 H2H
Best Season
201850% · 18 matches
Worst Season
201620% · 20 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
29% → 46%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
84253 known · 29 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-50% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
16-3233% win rate

By Division

Division C26-32 (45%)
Division B5-18 (22%)
Division A0-1 (0%)
Division A0%
0W·1L·1 played
Division B21.7%
5W·18L·23 played
Division C44.8%
26W·32L·58 played

Debut

Apr 26, 2016

Latest

Aug 3, 2021

Seasons Active

5 (5.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

16.4 (82 total)

Seasons

20162017201820192021