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Crown Green Handicap

John Ashcroft

Team: St Mary's (Billinge) BDivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

948

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

46

Matches Played

30

Wins

16

Losses

65%

Win Rate

8.2

Avg Win Margin

6.8

Avg Loss Margin

16-6

Home Record

14-10

Away Record

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 1514/15

Season Highlights

2023

90% Season

90%

10-Game Streak

14 in a row

Handicap Trend

All Time · 46 matches

+9 Rising
3 May28 Jun23 Aug2 May13 Jun1 Aug16 Apr5 Sept-14916
Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(40%)
43%
score-0.14→contribution-0.06
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
5.0
score-0.50→contribution-0.13
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.8
score-0.13→contribution-0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
43%
score-0.14→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
1037
score-0.11→contribution-0.01
Weighted Score-0.226
Sample Size Confidence
3%(7/41 matches)
Rating932 → shrunk 998→ adjusted 948
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)946
Recency Blend9% (7 recent matches)
Final Rating948
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

30W16L46 matches·65.2% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
St Mary's (Billinge) B2023–2024Division 1, Division 22822678.6%
St Mary's (Billinge) A2022Division 11881044.4%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/5/2024Ian LallyH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
9/3/2024Alan HeatonH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
8/27/2024Roy WaringA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
8/20/2024Dave TwiggA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
4/23/2024Paul MellingA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 1
4/17/2024Andy PearceA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
4/16/2024Harvey BirchH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
9/5/2023Kevin BlackH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
8/29/2023Kevin MarshA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
8/22/2023James HopkinsA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
8/15/2023S DuncanH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 2
8/8/2023Jimmy WeaverA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
8/1/2023A GradyH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
7/25/2023Robbie MarshallA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
7/18/2023Fred AndertonH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
7/11/2023Jack HowarthA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
7/4/2023Ron VizardH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
6/27/2023Brian ForsythA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
6/13/2023Ged FinneyH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
6/6/2023Dave HoldenA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
5/30/2023Mike SpencerH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
5/23/2023Derek RogersA21-1WIN+20LeagueDivision 2
5/16/2023Alan ShortH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 2
5/9/2023Keith MakinA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
5/2/2023Shaun GoldthorpeH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
4/25/2023David Blackburn-WoodsA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
4/18/2023Bill MolyneuxH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
4/11/2023Dave NimmoA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
9/6/2022Kevin MarshA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
8/30/2022Colin WilsonH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
8/23/2022Steve LeeH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
8/16/2022Eddie HarrisonA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
8/9/2022Liam McEganH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
8/3/2022Ray MaleyA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
7/19/2022Danny MillerA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
7/12/2022Stuart HodsonH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
6/28/2022Mark LeonardH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
6/21/2022Alan OakesA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
6/14/2022Alan CarrA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
5/31/2022Chris AshtonA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
5/24/2022Connor FlahertyH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
5/10/2022Derek BisselH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
5/3/2022Nicky ShawA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
4/26/2022W GreenallH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 1
4/19/2022Andy TurnerA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
4/12/2022Eddie BrooksH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

14

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLWLL
Last 1060% win rate↓ declining
WLWLLLWWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Kevin Marsh11250%8/29/2023
Ian Lally101100%9/5/2024
Alan Heaton0110%9/3/2024
Roy Waring101100%8/27/2024
Dave Twigg0110%8/20/2024
Paul Melling0110%4/23/2024
Andy Pearce0110%4/17/2024
Harvey Birch101100%4/16/2024
Kevin Black101100%9/5/2023
James Hopkins101100%8/22/2023
Biggest Win
Alan Short (+21)5/16/2023
Heaviest Defeat
Paul Melling (-17)4/23/2024
Best Season
202390% · 21 matches
Worst Season
202244% · 18 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
52% → 78%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
95046 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
6-1038% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
24-680% win rate

By Division

Division 111-14 (44%)
Division 219-2 (90%)
Division 144%
11W·14L·25 played
Division 290.5%
19W·2L·21 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 5, 2024

Seasons Active

3 (2.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

15.3 (46 total)

Seasons

202220232024