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Crown Green Handicap

Jeff Lawley

Team: Naval ClubDivision: League 2Last updated: 10/28/2026

Rating

851

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

41

Matches Played

21

Wins

20

Losses

51%

Win Rate

8.3

Avg Win Margin

5.3

Avg Loss Margin

11-8

Home Record

10-12

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
41 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/21/2026

A large recent sample: 41 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 39-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins21/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 41 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

10 May12 Jul23 May11 Jul22 Aug29 May6 Jul21 Aug-13713

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(40%)
51%
score+0.02→contribution+0.01
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.3
score+0.05→contribution+0.01
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
5.3
score+0.44→contribution+0.07
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
40%
score-0.20→contribution-0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
798
score-0.19→contribution-0.02
Weighted Score+0.049
Sample Size Confidence
100%(41/39 matches)
Rating1025 → shrunk 1025→ adjusted 835
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)875
Recency Blend40% (41 recent matches)
Final Rating851
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

21W20L41 matches·51.2% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Naval Club2025–2026League 230121840%
Tixall B2024League 3119281.8%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/21/2026Doris HeyesA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
8/14/2026Kelly HayesA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 2
8/7/2026Rita PlattH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
7/31/2026Steve CliffeA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
7/24/2026Clare BradyH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
7/10/2026Chris BarlowH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 2
7/6/2026Linda DarlingtonA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 2
7/3/2026Mark WoodA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 2
6/26/2026Mal EvansH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 2
6/22/2026Brenda BoultonA21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 2
6/12/2026Ellie WoodH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 2
5/29/2026Alan HughesA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 2
5/22/2026Paul KavanaghH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
5/18/2026Steve PriceH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 2
5/8/2026Tony CavanaghA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 2
5/1/2026Tony RatcliffeH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 2
4/24/2026Scott HuxleyA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
8/22/2025Kevin ExellH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 2
8/4/2025Jack WilsonH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
7/25/2025Scott HuxleyA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
7/21/2025Debbie GreenH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
7/14/2025vs AlbanyH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 2
7/11/2025Peter McgregorA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 2
7/7/2025Mervyn PryceH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
7/4/2025Rob LewisA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 2
6/27/2025Wendy ThompsonA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
6/13/2025Anita MeldrumA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 2
5/23/2025Maureen PercivalA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 2
5/16/2025Andy PorterA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 2
4/25/2025Jackie ThompsonH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 2
7/26/2024Eileen HumeA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2024Alan SimpsonH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
7/12/2024Jo HebblewhiteA21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 3
7/5/2024Beryl BellH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
6/28/2024Eddie CarvellA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
6/7/2024Nick KavanaghH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
6/3/2024Joan GoudieA21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
5/10/2024Jim IvanoffH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
5/3/2024Graham HamblettA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
4/26/2024Sue JenkinsH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2024Shaun LuckieA21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl2 games · 0W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundSteve SnowHeswall RBL12-21LOSSLOST
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundKarl SherbrookeWest Kirby Victoria10-21LOSSLOST
Cartwright Cup1 games · 0W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundRob SmithUpton Victory Hall20-21LOSSLOST
Stott Cup3 games · 2W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundTrevor BarracloughNew Brighton Quarry Vikings C21-12WINWON
Quarters RoundJane LloydBebington Park21-19WINLOST
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundMike LockwoodAlbany15-21LOSSLOST
Frank Hurst Trophy2 games · 1W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundEddie DuttonManor Road21-16WINWON
Semi Final RoundIan SharpLever Club9-21LOSSWON
Doctor Dawson Victory Cup1 games · 1W
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundDave AstleHoylake Central & Melrose21-15WINWON

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

8

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WLWLW
Last 1050% win rate— steady
WLWLWWLLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Scott Huxley0220%4/24/2026
Doris Heyes101100%8/21/2026
Kelly Hayes0110%8/14/2026
Rita Platt101100%8/7/2026
Steve Cliffe0110%7/31/2026
Clare Brady101100%7/24/2026
Chris Barlow101100%7/10/2026
Linda Darlington0110%7/6/2026
Mark Wood0110%7/3/2026
Mal Evans0110%6/26/2026
Biggest Win
Jo Hebblewhite (+17)7/12/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Kelly Hayes (-13)8/14/2026
Best Season
202482% · 11 matches
Worst Season
202531% · 13 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
65% → 38%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
78739 known · 2 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-20% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
21-1657% win rate

By Division

League 212-18 (40%)
League 39-2 (82%)
League 240%
12W·18L·30 played
League 381.8%
9W·2L·11 played

Debut

Apr 22, 2024

Latest

Aug 21, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

13.7 (41 total)

Seasons

202420252026