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Crown Green Handicap

Jaxon Mcelnay

Team: AlbanyDivision: Division ALast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

925

Current Handicap

8
Honours
Season:

59

Matches Played

28

Wins

31

Losses

47%

Win Rate

7.6

Avg Win Margin

10.5

Avg Loss Margin

19-15

Home Record

9-16

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
54 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/11/2026

A large recent sample: 54 matches in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 33-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player7/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 59 matches

+8 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

8 Jun19 Jul16 May16 Jul13 May15 Jul12 May11 Aug-1371115

Gives 8 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current8
Win Percentage(35%)
52%
score+0.04→contribution+0.01
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
7.6
score-0.06→contribution-0.01
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.4
score-0.40→contribution-0.06
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
40%
score-0.20→contribution-0.02
Opponent Strength(15%)
924
score-0.05→contribution-0.01
Weighted Score-0.090
Sample Size Confidence
100%(54/33 matches)
Rating964 → shrunk 964→ adjusted 899
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)964
Recency Blend40% (54 recent matches)
Final Rating925
Handicap
8

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

28W31L59 matches·47.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Albany2023–2026Division A, Division B42212150%
Albany B2018–2023Division C, Division B1771041.2%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/11/2026Thomas CollierH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision A
7/21/2026Katrina LockwoodA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision A
7/7/2026Daniel JeffriesA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision A
6/30/2026Mick Hinds *H21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision A
6/9/2026Mark Hadfield *H14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision A
5/28/2026Brian Hanlon *H4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision A
5/26/2026Dave SadlerA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision A
5/21/2026Phil Critchley *A21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision A
5/12/2026Kevin WalshH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision A
5/5/2026Paula GormanH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
8/26/2025Andy EcclesA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision A
8/7/2025Phil CritchleyA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision A
8/5/2025Calum JonesH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision A
7/31/2025Mark WoodA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision A
7/29/2025Chris Griffiths-griptonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision A
7/22/2025Jamie SmithH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision A
7/15/2025Kathryn MccaseyA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision A
7/8/2025Jim MannionH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision A
7/3/2025Alan HeatonA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision A
7/1/2025Darren HankinH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision A
6/24/2025Sue TilstonH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision A
6/10/2025Gill SheenA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision A
6/3/2025Katie WoodH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision A
5/20/2025Thomas RaybouldH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision A
5/13/2025Graham EllisonH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision A
5/6/2025Darren HankinA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision A
8/1/2024Harry MillingtonA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
7/30/2024Alan GreenA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision B
7/25/2024Terry ScottH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
7/23/2024Colin MounseyH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
7/18/2024John BuckleyA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision B
7/16/2024Joey LewisH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision B
7/4/2024Derek EdwardsH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision B
7/3/2024vs Arno TixallA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
6/25/2024Kevin OwensH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision B
6/13/2024Geoff BurnsH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision B
6/4/2024Paula GormanA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision B
5/30/2024Leslie RoachH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision B
5/28/2024Sharon EllisA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision B
5/16/2024Paul LewinA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision B
5/14/2024Robbie DeanH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
8/31/2023Paula GormanH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision A
8/24/2023Paul DraperH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
8/3/2023Andy PritchardA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
7/27/2023Alan PritchardA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
7/20/2023Alan SimpsonH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision C
7/19/2023vs Oxton Cons CA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
7/6/2023Geoff HawkswellH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
7/4/2023Sue TilstonH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
6/29/2023Dave EdwardsA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
6/28/2023vs Pensby CA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
6/22/2023Pauline HainesH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision C
6/13/2023Linda BiggsH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
6/8/2023John BarkerH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
6/24/2021Bill PorterH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
5/18/2021Katrina LockwoodA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
8/8/2019Nobby ClarkH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
8/6/2019Alan M JonesA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision B
8/14/2018Anita MeldrumH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision B
1 Cup Title Won
Andy Dawson Cup 2024· Albany
Andy Dawson Cup4 games · 1W 1×
2024 Winner3 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundJames RyanGladstone B18-21LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundAnita MeldrumArno Tixall21-6WINWON
Final RoundPaula GormanCammell Laird15-21LOSSWON
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundEdna CookOxton Cons B20-21LOSSLOST
George ONeill Trophy8 games · 2W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundDerek Moody / Rob MoodyBromborough Social Club15-2WINWON
Round of 16 RoundAnthony Carlson / Andy EcclesLever Club2-15LOSSLOST
20254 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundTony Thelwell / Gary HughesArno Tixall8-15LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundMike Cooper / John NashPort Sunlight VW B8-15LOSSWON
Quarters RoundStan Newell / Malcolm GilfoyleHeswall Rbl7-15LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundJohn Finch / Vicky MoseleyGladstone11-15LOSSLOST
20242 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundRoy Newcombe / Tony LakeBromborough Social Club15-8WINWON
Semi Final RoundJoe Edwards / Ray LynchLever Club13-15LOSSLOST
Leverhulme Cup8 games · 2W
20263 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundTony McdonoughAlbany B21-5WINWON
Round of 16 RoundNicky BaileyPensby B21-19WINWON
Semi Final RoundMatty HindleyPensby8-21LOSSLOST
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundWayne RobertsHeswall Rbl5-21LOSSLOST
20243 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundMargaret LewisParkfield14-21LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundJeff LawleyTixall B19-21LOSSWON
Quarters RoundVicky MoseleyGladstone9-21LOSSLOST
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundMark HadfieldOxton Cons6-21LOSSLOST
Geoff Clare Trophy1 games · 0W
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundRoger HampsonPt Sunlight Vill & Wks B14-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

6

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLLWL
Last 1040% win rate— steady
WLLWLLLWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Paula Gorman21366.7%5/5/2026
Katrina Lockwood0220%7/21/2026
Darren Hankin11250%7/1/2025
Sue Tilston11250%6/24/2025
Thomas Collier101100%8/11/2026
Daniel Jeffries0110%7/7/2026
Mick Hinds *101100%6/30/2026
Mark Hadfield *0110%6/9/2026
Brian Hanlon *0110%5/28/2026
Dave Sadler0110%5/26/2026
Biggest Win
Derek Edwards (+18)7/4/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Brian Hanlon * (-17)5/28/2026
Best Season
202362% · 13 matches
Worst Season
202640% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
59% → 37%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
90751 known · 8 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
2-1214% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
22-1559% win rate

By Division

Division A12-15 (44%)
Division B9-11 (45%)
Division C7-5 (58%)
Division A44.4%
12W·15L·27 played
Division B45%
9W·11L·20 played
Division C58.3%
7W·5L·12 played

Debut

Aug 14, 2018

Latest

Aug 11, 2026

Seasons Active

7 (8.0 yr span)

Matches / Season

8.4 (59 total)

Seasons

2018201920212023202420252026