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Crown Green Handicap

Jane Wright

Team: Pensby DDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

703

Current Handicap

12
Honours
Season:

15

Matches Played

8

Wins

7

Losses

53%

Win Rate

6.3

Avg Win Margin

9.4

Avg Loss Margin

4-0

Home Record

4-7

Away Record

21%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
15 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/13/2026

Only 15 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 155/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 15 matches

+12 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

18 Jun9 Jul17 Jun6 May26 May7 Jul22 Jul13 Aug-14916

Gives 12 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current12
Win Percentage(35%)
53%
score+0.07→contribution+0.02
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
6.3
score-0.29→contribution-0.07
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.4
score-0.24→contribution-0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
53%
score+0.07→contribution+0.01
Opponent Strength(15%)
852
score-0.09→contribution-0.01
Weighted Score-0.088
Sample Size Confidence
21%(15/33 matches)
Rating965 → shrunk 993→ adjusted 706
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)691
Recency Blend20% (15 recent matches)
Final Rating703
Handicap
12

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

8W7L15 matches·53.3% win rate
+84 since first recorded
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby D2025–2026Division C117463.6%
Pensby C2024Division C41325%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/13/2026Ken LloydH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
8/3/2026Tony LakeH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
7/22/2026Terry MilnerA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
7/14/2026Paul HarrisA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
7/7/2026Graham BensonA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
6/2/2026Pat McloughlinH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
5/26/2026Helen BonifaceA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
5/21/2026Alison BabaA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
5/6/2026Susan WardH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
6/26/2025vs Oxton Cons BA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
6/17/2025Mike HaydenA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
7/18/2024Jeff LawleyA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
7/9/2024Mally LloydA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
7/2/2024Trevor SmithA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
6/18/2024Adrian CairnsA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
Geoff Clare Trophy2 games · 0W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Semi Final RoundJohn BakerLever Club C11-21LOSSLOST
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundFreda WhalleyAlbany B20-21LOSSWON

Current Streak

2wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WWLLW
Last 1070% win rate— steady
WWLLWWWWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ken Lloyd101100%8/13/2026
Tony Lake101100%8/3/2026
Terry Milner0110%7/22/2026
Paul Harris0110%7/14/2026
Graham Benson101100%7/7/2026
Pat Mcloughlin101100%6/2/2026
Helen Boniface101100%5/26/2026
Alison Baba101100%5/21/2026
Susan Ward101100%5/6/2026
Oxton Cons B0110%6/26/2025
Biggest Win
Tony Lake (+12)8/3/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Trevor Smith (-15)7/2/2024
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
29% → 75%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
84214 known · 1 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-20% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
8-467% win rate
Division C53.3%
8W·7L·15 played

Debut

Jun 18, 2024

Latest

Aug 13, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

5.0 (15 total)

Seasons

202420252026