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Crown Green Handicap

Jamie Williams

Team: Parr ConsDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

878

Current Handicap

13
Honours
Season:

54

Matches Played

41

Wins

13

Losses

76%

Win Rate

8.3

Avg Win Margin

7.4

Avg Loss Margin

23-5

Home Record

18-8

Away Record

21%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
19 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/3/2024

Only 19 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

75% Club

76%

Next goal: 50 Wins41/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2024
Home Dominance10/10 home
2023
90% Season95%
10-Game Streak12 in a row
Home Dominance9/9 home

Handicap Trend

All Time · 54 matches

+13 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

7 Jun9 Aug23 May11 Jul29 Aug7 May9 Jul3 Sept-14916

Gives 13 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current13
Win Percentage(40%)
79%
score+0.58→contribution+0.23
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.3
score+0.21→contribution+0.05
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.3
score-0.21→contribution-0.03
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
79%
score+0.58→contribution+0.06
Opponent Strength(10%)
896
score+0.47→contribution+0.05
Weighted Score+0.358
Sample Size Confidence
21%(19/41 matches)
Rating1107 → shrunk 1023→ adjusted 873
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)893
Recency Blend25% (19 recent matches)
Final Rating878
Handicap
13

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

41W13L54 matches·75.9% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Parr Cons2023–2024Division 2, Division 33934587.2%
Parr Cons A2022Division 1157846.7%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/3/2024Paul KellyH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
8/27/2024Martin WebsterA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
8/20/2024Les SimmsH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
8/6/2024Kevin BlackH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
7/30/2024Robbie MarshallA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
7/23/2024Derek RogersH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
7/16/2024Paul CleggA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
7/9/2024Peter O'ConnorH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
7/2/2024W GreenallA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
6/25/2024Peter ScottH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
6/18/2024Ed WebsterH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
5/28/2024Keith BrothwoodA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
5/21/2024Peter JaundrillH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
5/14/2024Alan CarrA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
5/7/2024Walter MillerH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
4/30/2024Anthony MeeA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
4/23/2024Antony JohnsonH21-1WIN+20LeagueDivision 2
4/16/2024George MarshA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
4/9/2024Paul KellyA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
9/13/2023Nick BateA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
9/5/2023L JonesH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 3
8/29/2023Graham OwenA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
8/22/2023Fred HullH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
8/15/2023Paul LiptrotH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
8/8/2023Ian HillA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
8/1/2023G McClurgH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
7/25/2023John BurrowsA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
7/18/2023Frank HolcroftH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
7/11/2023Steven SkeechA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
7/4/2023Graham FenneyH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
6/27/2023Alan DelahuntA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
6/20/2023Graham OwenH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
6/13/2023Peter CookeA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
6/6/2023Paul LiptrotA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
5/30/2023Malcolm WattersonH21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision 3
5/23/2023Roy BryanA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
5/16/2023David GentH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
4/25/2023Alan CrossA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
4/12/2023Alan KearnsA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
8/30/2022John WilsonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
8/23/2022W GreenallA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
8/16/2022Kevin MarshH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
8/9/2022Anthony GartsideA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
8/2/2022Neil LynchH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
7/19/2022John PickavanceA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
7/12/2022Paul GartsideH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
6/28/2022R BevingtonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
6/21/2022Harvey BirchA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
6/14/2022John WhiteH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
6/7/2022Ken SwindleyA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
5/31/2022Matt GartsideH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
5/24/2022Terry KellyA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
5/17/2022Mark WebsterH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
5/10/2022Geoff LambertH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

4wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

12

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWWWL
Last 1080% win rate— steady
WWWWLWLWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Paul Kelly11250%9/3/2024
W Greenall202100%7/2/2024
Graham Owen202100%8/29/2023
Paul Liptrot202100%8/15/2023
Martin Webster101100%8/27/2024
Les Simms101100%8/20/2024
Kevin Black101100%8/6/2024
Robbie Marshall0110%7/30/2024
Derek Rogers101100%7/23/2024
Paul Clegg0110%7/16/2024
Biggest Win
Antony Johnson (+20)4/23/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Alan Carr (-14)5/14/2024
Best Season
202395% · 20 matches
Worst Season
202247% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
70% → 81%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
85854 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
2-722% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
39-687% win rate

By Division

Division 319-1 (95%)
Division 215-4 (79%)
Division 17-8 (47%)
Division 146.7%
7W·8L·15 played
Division 278.9%
15W·4L·19 played
Division 395%
19W·1L·20 played

Debut

May 10, 2022

Latest

Sep 3, 2024

Seasons Active

3 (2.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

18.0 (54 total)

Seasons

202220232024