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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

Ian Roberts

Team: Pensby CDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

491

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

12

Matches Played

1

Wins

11

Losses

8%

Win Rate

4.0

Avg Win Margin

10.5

Avg Loss Margin

1-4

Home Record

0-7

Away Record

9%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
12 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/21/2026

Only 12 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player1/10

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 12 matches

+15 Rising
15 May22 May8 Jun27 Jul7 Aug21 Aug-14916
Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
8%
score-0.83→contribution-0.33
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
4.0
score-0.67→contribution-0.17
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.5
score-0.41→contribution-0.06
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
8%
score-0.83→contribution-0.08
Opponent Strength(10%)
696
score-1.00→contribution-0.10
Weighted Score-0.745
Sample Size Confidence
9%(12/39 matches)
Rating628 → shrunk 965→ adjusted 515
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)364
Recency Blend16% (12 recent matches)
Final Rating491
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

1W11L12 matches·8.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby C2026League 3121118.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/21/2026Ronald HerseeH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
8/17/2026Aaron WilliamsA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
8/7/2026Jane LloydA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
7/31/2026Debbie Formston-wrightH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
7/27/2026Ray FarrellA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
7/24/2026Cathy KavanaghA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
6/8/2026Harry MillingtonH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
6/5/2026John RiggA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
5/22/2026John ShawH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
5/18/2026Gary WoodH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
5/15/2026Colin GoodwinA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
4/24/2026Allan ClarkeA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3

Current Streak

8losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

8

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 1010% win rate— steady
LLLLLLLLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ronald Hersee0110%8/21/2026
Aaron Williams0110%8/17/2026
Jane Lloyd0110%8/7/2026
Debbie Formston-wright0110%7/31/2026
Ray Farrell0110%7/27/2026
Cathy Kavanagh0110%7/24/2026
Harry Millington0110%6/8/2026
John Rigg0110%6/5/2026
John Shaw101100%5/22/2026
Gary Wood0110%5/18/2026
Biggest Win
John Shaw (+4)5/22/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Ray Farrell (-16)7/27/2026
Best Season
20268% · 12 matches
Worst Season
20268% · 12 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
17% → 0%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
69612 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
1-109% win rate
League 38.3%
1W·11L·12 played

Debut

Apr 24, 2026

Latest

Aug 21, 2026

Seasons Active

1 (4 mo span)

Matches / Season

12.0 (12 total)

Seasons

2026