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Crown Green Handicap

Ian Ball

Team: Oxton Conservative ClubDivision: League 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

912

Current Handicap

NQ

Needs 4 more match(es)

Honours
Season:

6

Matches Played

4

Wins

2

Losses

67%

Win Rate

8.8

Avg Win Margin

10.5

Avg Loss Margin

4-1

Home Record

0-1

Away Record

80%

Handicap Confidence

Provisional
6 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/4/2025

The handicap is built on a small recent sample (6 matches so far). It is deliberately conservative and will move as more results come in.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 6 matches

+8 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

19 Jul5 Aug2 May30 May20 Jun4 Aug-12510

Gives 8 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current8
Win Percentage(40%)
67%
score+0.33→contribution+0.13
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.8
score+0.13→contribution+0.03
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.5
score-0.42→contribution-0.06
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
67%
score+0.33→contribution+0.03
Opponent Strength(10%)
853
score+0.18→contribution+0.02
Weighted Score+0.153
Sample Size Confidence
80%(6/39 matches)
Rating1077 → shrunk 1062→ adjusted 912
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)912
Recency Blend8% (6 recent matches)
Final Rating912
Handicap
NQ

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

4W2L6 matches·66.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Oxton Conservative Club2024–2025League 264266.7%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/4/2025Dave BromleyH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 2
6/20/2025vs New Brighton Quarry Vikings CH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 2
5/30/2025Ethel (etty) JonesH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
5/2/2025Jack BeechamH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 2
8/5/2024George SaxtonH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 2
7/19/2024Geoff StampA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 2
Cartwright Cup1 games · 0W
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundPaula GormanCammell Laird9-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

2wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

1

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWLWW
Last 1067% win rate↑ improving
WWLWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Dave Bromley101100%8/4/2025
New Brighton Quarry Vikings C101100%6/20/2025
Ethel (etty) Jones0110%5/30/2025
Jack Beecham101100%5/2/2025
George Saxton101100%8/5/2024
Geoff Stamp0110%7/19/2024
Biggest Win
Dave Bromley (+15)8/4/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Geoff Stamp (-14)7/19/2024
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
67% → 67%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
8245 known · 1 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
3-260% win rate
League 266.7%
4W·2L·6 played

Debut

Jul 19, 2024

Latest

Aug 4, 2025

Seasons Active

2 (1.0 yr span)

Matches / Season

3.0 (6 total)

Seasons

20242025