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Crown Green Handicap

Howard Fern

Team: Bromborough Pool BDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

749

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

14

Matches Played

2

Wins

12

Losses

14%

Win Rate

2.5

Avg Win Margin

8.9

Avg Loss Margin

2-5

Home Record

0-7

Away Record

18%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
14 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/13/2019

Only 14 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 14 matches

+11 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

12 Jul24 Jul31 Jul9 Aug21 Aug6 Aug13 Aug-14916

Gives 11 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(35%)
14%
score-0.71→contribution-0.25
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
2.5
score-0.92→contribution-0.21
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.9
score-0.15→contribution-0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
14%
score-0.71→contribution-0.07
Opponent Strength(15%)
860
score-0.89→contribution-0.13
Weighted Score-0.703
Sample Size Confidence
18%(14/33 matches)
Rating719 → shrunk 949→ adjusted 749
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

2W12L14 matches·14.3% win rate
-6 since first recorded
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Bromborough Pool B2018–2019Division C1421214.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/13/2019Donald ClarkH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
8/8/2019Gordon LavenderA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
8/6/2019Jim MorrisH3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision C
5/16/2019Mike RamsayA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
8/21/2018John BurkeH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
8/14/2018Babs WoodwardA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
8/9/2018Barry TilstonH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
8/2/2018Ann PritchardA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
7/31/2018Phil NorburyH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
7/30/2018vs Oxton Cons CA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
7/24/2018Larry BakerH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
7/18/2018vs Hoylake Central & MelroseA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/12/2018John WyburnH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
7/4/2018Roy CookeA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

7

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
WLLLL
Last 1020% win rate— steady
WLLLLLWLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Donald Clark101100%8/13/2019
Gordon Lavender0110%8/8/2019
Jim Morris0110%8/6/2019
Mike Ramsay0110%5/16/2019
John Burke0110%8/21/2018
Babs Woodward0110%8/14/2018
Barry Tilston101100%8/9/2018
Ann Pritchard0110%8/2/2018
Phil Norbury0110%7/31/2018
Oxton Cons C0110%7/30/2018
Biggest Win
Barry Tilston (+3)8/9/2018
Heaviest Defeat
Jim Morris (-18)8/6/2019
Best Season
201810% · 10 matches
Worst Season
201810% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
0% → 29%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
82211 known · 3 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-820% win rate
Division C14.3%
2W·12L·14 played

Debut

Jul 4, 2018

Latest

Aug 13, 2019

Seasons Active

2 (1.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

7.0 (14 total)

Seasons

20182019