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Crown Green Handicap

Hayley Jones

Team: Thingwall BDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

881

Current Handicap

8
Honours
Season:

60

Matches Played

36

Wins

24

Losses

60%

Win Rate

7.1

Avg Win Margin

8.2

Avg Loss Margin

21-10

Home Record

15-14

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
60 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/3/2026

A large recent sample: 60 matches in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 33-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins36/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 60 matches

+8 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

13 Jun16 May11 Jul6 May3 Jul5 Aug9 Jun14 Jul3 Aug-13712

Gives 8 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current8
Win Percentage(35%)
60%
score+0.20→contribution+0.07
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
7.1
score-0.15→contribution-0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.2
score-0.03→contribution-0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
75%
score+0.50→contribution+0.05
Opponent Strength(15%)
854
score+0.04→contribution+0.01
Weighted Score+0.089
Sample Size Confidence
100%(60/33 matches)
Rating1035 → shrunk 1035→ adjusted 861
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)910
Recency Blend40% (60 recent matches)
Final Rating881
Handicap
8

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

36W24L60 matches·60% win rate
+25 since first recorded
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Albany B2023–2025Division C39201951.3%
Thingwall B2026Division B2116576.2%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/3/2026John McgibbonA21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision B
7/30/2026John LewisH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
7/28/2026David BaileyA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
7/23/2026Mike Cooper **H19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
7/23/2026Mike CooperH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
7/21/2026Eric CookA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
7/21/2026Eric CookA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
7/16/2026John MillingtonA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision B
7/14/2026Graeme PickardA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision B
7/2/2026Greg Orzech **A21-1WIN+20LeagueDivision B
7/1/2026Wendy Thompson **H21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision B
6/30/2026Eddie Thomas *H21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision B
6/23/2026Jon EllisH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
6/16/2026James Atherton *A11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision B
6/11/2026Mike WorthyH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision B
6/9/2026Pauline HainesA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
5/28/2026Carl AshworthH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
5/21/2026Roy BrannonA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision B
5/19/2026Alan MathewsH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision B
5/12/2026Andy PughH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
5/5/2026Greg Orzech **H21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
8/12/2025David CruickshankH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
8/5/2025Doug TaylorA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/31/2025Harry LucasA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
7/29/2025Jason ByrnesA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
7/24/2025Steve BallH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
7/23/2025Tony LakeA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
7/16/2025vs Pensby DA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
7/15/2025Alan SmithH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
7/3/2025Rita SimpsonH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
7/1/2025Michael DabbsA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
6/24/2025Rod WhiteA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
6/17/2025Mal SmithH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
6/10/2025Mike HaydenH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
5/27/2025Pauline WelchH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision C
5/20/2025Ryan BarkerA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
5/6/2025Paul HellerH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
8/13/2024Pauline HoeyH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
8/6/2024Beryl BellA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision C
7/30/2024Tommy BrownA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
7/23/2024Phillip McgunigallA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
7/18/2024Stephen ThomasH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
7/16/2024Chris DunbarA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
7/11/2024Phillip McgunigallH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
7/2/2024Jeff LawleyH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
6/27/2024Stan NewellA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
6/18/2024Tony McsorleyH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision C
6/11/2024Ray WhartonH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision C
5/30/2024Philip CurrieA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
5/28/2024Lynne CooperH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
5/16/2024Ron WhyteH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
5/14/2024Andy DawsonA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
5/7/2024Kevin WalshH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
8/31/2023Sue TilstonA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
8/24/2023Stephen GarnerH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
8/17/2023Andrew TurnerA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
8/3/2023Beryl BellA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
7/27/2023Mal SmithA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
6/13/2023Ann PritchardH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
6/8/2023Mal SmithH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
Andy Dawson Cup1 games · 0W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundDaniel JeffriesGladstone B14-21LOSSLOST
Leverhulme Cup1 games · 0W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundSteve BibbyHeswall Rbl B10-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

3wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

7

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WWWLL
Last 1080% win rate↓ declining
WWWLLWWWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Mal Smith21366.7%6/17/2025
Eric Cook202100%7/21/2026
Greg Orzech **202100%7/2/2026
Beryl Bell11250%8/6/2024
Phillip Mcgunigall0220%7/23/2024
John Mcgibbon101100%8/3/2026
John Lewis101100%7/30/2026
David Bailey101100%7/28/2026
Mike Cooper **0110%7/23/2026
Mike Cooper0110%7/23/2026
Biggest Win
Greg Orzech ** (+20)7/2/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Beryl Bell (-18)8/6/2024
Best Season
202676% · 21 matches
Worst Season
202431% · 16 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
50% → 70%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
83553 known · 7 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-325% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
31-1863% win rate

By Division

Division C20-19 (51%)
Division B16-5 (76%)
Division B76.2%
16W·5L·21 played
Division C51.3%
20W·19L·39 played

Debut

Jun 8, 2023

Latest

Aug 3, 2026

Seasons Active

4 (3.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

15.0 (60 total)

Seasons

2023202420252026