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Crown Green Handicap

Harry Lucas

Team: Pensby DDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

679

Current Handicap

12
Honours
Season:

25

Matches Played

11

Wins

14

Losses

44%

Win Rate

7.5

Avg Win Margin

9.0

Avg Loss Margin

9-13

Home Record

2-1

Away Record

57%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
25 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/13/2026

Only 25 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player3/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 25 matches

+12 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

7 Aug29 May9 Jul31 Jul6 May3 Jun8 Jul13 Aug-1371115

Gives 12 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current12
Win Percentage(35%)
44%
score-0.12→contribution-0.04
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
7.5
score-0.08→contribution-0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.0
score-0.17→contribution-0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Opponent Strength(15%)
892
score-0.24→contribution-0.04
Weighted Score-0.122
Sample Size Confidence
57%(25/33 matches)
Rating951 → shrunk 972→ adjusted 686
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)666
Recency Blend33% (25 recent matches)
Final Rating679
Handicap
12

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

11W14L25 matches·44% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby D2025–2026Division C1810855.6%
Pensby C2024–2026Division C71614.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/13/2026Paul CoxH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
8/10/2026Steve BallA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
8/3/2026John BonifaceH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
7/22/2026Paula JenningsH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/8/2026Kevin BodeyH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/1/2026John BarkerH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
6/10/2026Michael DabbsH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
6/3/2026Paul HarrisH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
5/27/2026Ray Hartley ***H9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
5/19/2026Les HightonH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision C
5/6/2026Michael OMahonyH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
8/13/2025Colin LitsterH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
8/7/2025Sian MaddockH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision C
7/31/2025Hayley JonesH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
7/28/2025vs Bromborough Social ClubH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
7/16/2025vs Albany BH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision C
7/9/2025June BuckleyH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
7/2/2025vs Pensby CH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
6/11/2025vs Bromborough Pool BH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision C
5/29/2025vs Little SuttonH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
5/21/2025vs Sea DogH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
5/7/2025vs Pensby CA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
8/7/2024vs Oxton Cons BH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
7/31/2024vs Heswall Rbl BH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
7/18/2024Colina MackayA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWWLL
Last 1050% win rate— steady
LWWLLWWLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Pensby C11250%7/2/2025
Paul Cox0110%8/13/2026
Steve Ball101100%8/10/2026
John Boniface101100%8/3/2026
Paula Jennings0110%7/22/2026
Kevin Bodey0110%7/8/2026
John Barker101100%7/1/2026
Michael Dabbs101100%6/10/2026
Paul Harris0110%6/3/2026
Ray Hartley ***0110%5/27/2026
Biggest Win
Les Highton (+21)5/19/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Sian Maddock (-17)8/7/2025
Best Season
202655% · 11 matches
Worst Season
202536% · 11 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
42% → 46%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
81915 known · 10 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
7-750% win rate
Division C44%
11W·14L·25 played

Debut

Jul 18, 2024

Latest

Aug 13, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

8.3 (25 total)

Seasons

202420252026