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Crown Green Handicap

Geoff Burns

Team: Pensby BDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

872

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

33

Matches Played

15

Wins

18

Losses

45%

Win Rate

7.3

Avg Win Margin

7.6

Avg Loss Margin

8-8

Home Record

7-10

Away Record

83%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
30 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/6/2024

A solid recent sample: 30 of 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins15/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 33 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

18 May13 Jun11 Jul10 Aug14 May11 Jun9 Jul6 Aug-14916

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(35%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
7.3
score-0.12→contribution-0.03
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.5
score+0.08→contribution+0.01
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
60%
score+0.20→contribution+0.02
Opponent Strength(15%)
915
score-0.09→contribution-0.01
Weighted Score-0.010
Sample Size Confidence
83%(30/33 matches)
Rating996 → shrunk 997→ adjusted 872
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)871
Recency Blend40% (30 recent matches)
Final Rating872
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

15W18L33 matches·45.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby B2023–2024Division B30151550%
Pensby C2021Division C2020%
Pensby2021Division A1010%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/6/2024John McgibbonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision B
7/30/2024Paula JenningsA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision B
7/23/2024Paul LewisH0-21LOSS-21LeagueDivision B
7/16/2024Derek EdwardsH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
7/9/2024John KayllA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
7/2/2024Roy BrannonA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision B
6/19/2024vs Arno TixallA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
6/13/2024Jaxon McelnayA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
6/11/2024Andrew ProctorH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision B
6/4/2024Matthew BradyA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
5/30/2024Colin MounseyH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
5/21/2024Tony MalcolmH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
5/14/2024Billy CottamH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision B
5/7/2024Gary BoothA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
8/31/2023Peter JonesA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
8/24/2023Eric JamesH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision B
8/17/2023Alan AtkinsonH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision B
8/10/2023Brian DentonA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
8/3/2023Tommy BrownH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision B
7/27/2023Ken KerrA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision B
7/20/2023Kevin CafferyH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
7/11/2023Ron JonesA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
7/6/2023John SheenH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
6/28/2023vs Arno TixallA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
6/15/2023Kevin WalshH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision B
6/13/2023Joe RiceA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
6/8/2023Billy CottamH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision B
6/1/2023Paul CottamA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
5/25/2023Thomas RaybouldH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
5/18/2023Nicky BaileyA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision B
6/15/2021Robert HolmesA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
6/8/2021Dave LewisH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision A
6/1/2021Ian GillA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
George ONeill Trophy5 games · 1W
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundAnthony Carlson / Andy EcclesLever Club8-15LOSSLOST
20233 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundRod White / Paul BlackwellSea Dog6-15LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundFred Beacall / Colin TurnerAlbany B15-11WINWON
Quarters RoundAndrew Meldrum / Chris TippeyArno Tixall7-15LOSSLOST
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundWayne Roberts / Mark HadfieldOxton Cons2-15LOSSLOST
Andy Dawson Cup2 games · 0W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundPhil RichardsLever Club B10-21LOSSLOST
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundJohn RiggPensby8-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWLWL
Last 1060% win rate↓ declining
LWLWLWWWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Arno Tixall11250%6/19/2024
Billy Cottam202100%5/14/2024
John Mcgibbon0110%8/6/2024
Paula Jennings101100%7/30/2024
Paul Lewis0110%7/23/2024
Derek Edwards101100%7/16/2024
John Kayll0110%7/9/2024
Roy Brannon101100%7/2/2024
Jaxon Mcelnay101100%6/13/2024
Andrew Proctor101100%6/11/2024
Biggest Win
Eric James (+13)8/24/2023
Heaviest Defeat
Paul Lewis (-21)7/23/2024
Best Season
202457% · 14 matches
Worst Season
202344% · 16 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
31% → 59%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
89429 known · 4 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-30% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
13-1350% win rate

By Division

Division B15-15 (50%)
Division C0-2 (0%)
Division A0-1 (0%)
Division A0%
0W·1L·1 played
Division B50%
15W·15L·30 played
Division C0%
0W·2L·2 played

Debut

Jun 1, 2021

Latest

Aug 6, 2024

Seasons Active

3 (3.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

11.0 (33 total)

Seasons

202120232024